thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $417.85EOD only
Max Pain
$410.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.23
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-7.85
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
42
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.5

out of 10

7.5 not 9 because earnings neutral trade conflicts with directional breakout thesis, and spot near max pain ($412) may pin rather than rally; if spot pushes through $440, conviction would rise to 9.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $430-$440 with dealer gamma support near $412 and resistance at $440, reinforced by strong call flow and positive net premium.

Where They Diverge

Earnings iron condor suggests range-bound movement ($410-$440) while directional bull call spread targets upside breakout above $425, creating a structural conflict between neutral and bullish outcomes.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-18 $405/$390 put spread for $0.45 credit

Key Risk

Break below $400 flips gamma support to resistance, triggering stop-loss cascade and downside acceleration to $390 (next OI support).

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.