ThetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $348.95EOD only
Max Pain
$350.00
Next expiry Apr 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.50
2.1% from close
Price Gap
+1.05
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
21
Low premium
P/C OI
0.69
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Neutral tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because structural positioning and dealer short-gamma make a near-term magnet plausible, but the imminent earnings window and mixed institutional flow create a significant binary risk that can rapidly invalidate the bias; not higher because alignment across personas is not unanimous and the event timing compresses optionality.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on a neutral-to-bullish intermediate bias with dealer short-gamma amplifying directional moves and elevated IV around an upcoming earnings event — the market is positioned for upside towards the established magnet (~$355) but is sensitive to a volatility reprice around earnings.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven event risk directly undermines the directional bias: earnings term-structure and high short-term IV create a binary rerating that can negate the dealer short-gamma driven pin if post-report flow flips; additionally, flow signals (mixed) leave open the possibility that institutional liquidation around the event could produce a sharp downside that the directional thesis does not price in.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 340/320 put spread, 2026-04-24 expiry, collect ~ $4.00 credit (defined-risk), max loss ~$16 per spread.

Key Risk

A decisive break below $300 on heavy volume — particularly if driven by a post-earnings sell impulse — flips dealer gamma long, removes the upside pin, and accelerates downside toward ~$280 (gap/structural support), invalidating the neutral-to-bullish thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for TSLA for 2026-04-10. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.