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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $440.36EOD only
Max Pain
$420.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.00
3.0% from close
Price Gap
-20.36
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
41
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.75
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 27, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 27, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because structural positioning and dealer short-gamma make a near-term magnet plausible, but the imminent earnings window and mixed institutional flow create a significant binary risk that can rapidly invalidate the bias; not higher because alignment across personas is not unanimous and the event timing compresses optionality.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on a neutral-to-bullish intermediate bias with dealer short-gamma amplifying directional moves and elevated IV around an upcoming earnings event — the market is positioned for upside towards the established magnet (~$355) but is sensitive to a volatility reprice around earnings.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-driven event risk directly undermines the directional bias: earnings term-structure and high short-term IV create a binary rerating that can negate the dealer short-gamma driven pin if post-report flow flips; additionally, flow signals (mixed) leave open the possibility that institutional liquidation around the event could produce a sharp downside that the directional thesis does not price in.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 340/320 put spread, 2026-04-24 expiry, collect ~ $4.00 credit (defined-risk), max loss ~$16 per spread.

Key Risk

A decisive break below $300 on heavy volume — particularly if driven by a post-earnings sell impulse — flips dealer gamma long, removes the upside pin, and accelerates downside toward ~$280 (gap/structural support), invalidating the neutral-to-bullish thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.