thetaOwl
HomeOptionsTSLAReports

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $391.95EOD only
Max Pain
$357.50
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.25
3.4% from close
Price Gap
-34.45
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.70
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, GEX pinning and call-flow alignment produce a clear short-term magnet, but conviction is capped by two high-impact counterweights — imminent earnings (binary) and the spot sitting well above multi-expiry max-pain — either can quickly negate current dealer/flow mechanics.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus leans toward a short-term bullish pin into the $390–$405 area supported by dealer short-gamma and concentrated call positioning — momentum is expected to hold into the next expiries absent a binary shock.

Where They Diverge

Earnings in six days and the earnings-term structure create a binary that can reverse positioning: the earnings persona signals a post-event re-pricing/fade that directly undermines the bullish continuation thesis; similarly, theta wants to harvest premium but the elevated front-week IV makes pure premium-selling significantly more event-risky, creating tension between income extraction and directional exposure.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell Apr 24 $400 call / Buy May 22 $445 call — receive net credit (~$1.50–$2.50 credit expected).

Key Risk

A fast break below $300 (inside the week) flips dealer gamma from short to long, removing the pin and triggering stop/hedge cascades — downside would accelerate toward the $260 gap-fill level, invalidating the bullish magnet.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for TSLA for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.