thetaOwl

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $435.79EOD only
Max Pain
$435.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.82
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-0.79
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
62
High premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because structural negatives (large negative GEX, concentrated premium at $360) make the magnet credible and create good theta opportunities, but the presence of elevated earnings volatility and mixed institutional flow leaves a meaningful binary that can rapidly invalidate the pin—enough to cap conviction below 7.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market structure + dealer short-gamma is creating a $360 magnet while implied vol and option premium favor premium sellers — net outcome: constrained, mean-reverting action around $360 with amplified intraday moves.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term volatility and mixed institutional flow contradict a clean pin: earnings into 4/21-22 create a binary that can override the gamma magnet, and reported buy-side accumulation (flow signals) would support a breakout higher rather than the directional short-bias toward downside pins.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 22 330/320 put spread for credit (theta-driven defined-risk premium sell).

Key Risk

A decisive break above $372 (sustained close and follow-through) would flip dealer gamma exposure to long, remove the $360 magnet and trigger an upside squeeze toward $400+, invalidating the pin and making short-premium positions vulnerable.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.