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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $406.43EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$13.32
3.3% from close
Price Gap
-6.43
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
93
High premium
P/C OI
0.69
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
TSLA Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 11, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer earnings report is available for June 12, 2026.

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Earnings Verdict

Bullish flow but no near-term catalyst; earnings on 7/22 are 41 days away.

Confidence:
0 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.2% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19; override: Event far out (41 days); flow bullish but not earnings-specific
Most important: Flow heavy bullish but no near-term catalyst; earnings 7/22 far.
🚨Earnings 41 days out; flow bullish but not event-driven
📈Net call premium $780M; unusual activity

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
At
Gamma flip: ~$300.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 22,020 (24.8% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-22 (41 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-12 (1d): ±$13.50 (3.4%)
  • 2026-06-15 (4d): ±$19.25 (4.8%)
  • 2026-06-17 (6d): ±$24.10 (6.0%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Front-end elevated; VIX 19.44

Crush estimate: N/A - no immediate event

Skew: Call skew elevated; put floor low

Historical Context

Beat rate: 40% (2/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: N/A - 40% beat rate over last 5 quarters

Directional bias: Mixed

Key Levels

1$300.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $385.65/$412.65; 1w $375.05/$423.25
3Max pain pins: $400 (2026-06-12); $400 (2026-06-15); $405 (2026-06-17)

Flow Highlights

Unusual call volume on 6/12 $377.5C and $387.5C; net call premium $780M.

Bullish positioning; possibly delta hedging or speculation ahead of no event.

Strategies

IC Range Play
Sell 2026-06-26 $380.00/$370.00 put wing and $425.00/$440.00 call wing
Credit: $5.09-$6.22
Max loss: $8.78
Max gain: $6.22
BE: 373.78 / 431.22
Trigger: Exit 50% profit or 21 DTE; adjust at $400 break.
Safe choice: high IV, no catalyst, pins at $400.
Outperforms: Sell put/call wings; profit from range and IV decay.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Short Strangle
Sell 2026-06-26 $375.00 put + sell $430.00 call
Credit: $12.26-$14.99
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $14.99
BE: 360.01 / 444.99
Trigger: Monitor delta; roll if delta >15; exit 50% profit or 14 DTE.
Higher premium but unlimited risk; secondary.
Outperforms: Sell $375 put/$430 call; capture elevated front-end IV.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!41 days to earnings; high IV decay risk
!Gamma pinning at $400 may limit moves

What to Watch

?Gamma flip at $300
?Put OI concentration at $387.5
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 11, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.