thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $372.97EOD only
Max Pain
$370.00
Next expiry Jun 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.28
2.2% from close
Price Gap
-2.97
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
57
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.41
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 26, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 29, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $370 with sustained call volume
Invalidation: Break below $367.5 support
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: $370-$375 zone

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$47.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.40

P/C OI ratio: 0.43

Heavy OTM call buying and positive GEX signal bullish sentiment. Low put activity and call dominance support upside. Confidence base 7.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-29 $382.50 Call
Vol: 32,495
OI: 1,032
Vol/OI: 31.5x
IV: 28.1%
Notional: ~$32K
Intent: Speculative call buying; high volume OTM.
Dual read: Closing or hedging small positions.

Read-through: Bullish but low premium suggests lotto.

#2
MSFT 2026-06-29 $367.50 Put
Vol: 29,588
OI: 1,054
Vol/OI: 28.1x
IV: 4.9%
Notional: ~$89K
Intent: Bearish put buying or hedging.
Dual read: Possible put spread entry.

Read-through: Caution around $367.50.

#3
MSFT 2026-06-29 $372.50 Call
Vol: 39,282
OI: 1,449
Vol/OI: 27.1x
IV: 9.4%
Notional: ~$39K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSFT 2026-06-29 $367.50 Call
Vol: 18,039
OI: 670
Vol/OI: 26.9x
IV: 13.2%
Notional: ~$2.4M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSFT 2026-06-29 $370.00 Call
Vol: 66,355
OI: 2,535
Vol/OI: 26.2x
IV: 4.6%
Notional: ~$66K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy OTM call volume 370-382.5 but near $0 – expiration noise

Put additions: Puts at 367.5, 370 – elevated vol/OI for hedging

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$77M, DEX +96M – mixed with net premium negative

OI clusters: Highest OI at 370 (2.5k calls, 2k puts) – likely pinning

Hedging evidence: Put activity suggests collars at 367.5/370

Max pain context: Spot near MP ~370, gamma pinning active

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual OTM call volume is noise (expiration day fluff)
~Positive GEX/DEX and spot at MP are real signals for pinning
~Net premium negative vs call volume indicates caution

Key Conclusions

📌Positive GEX/DEX with spot at MP supports pinning near $370
Net premium negative and OTM call fluff warn upside may be capped
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 29, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.