thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $393.83EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.86
1.5% from close
Price Gap
+6.17
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
91
High premium
P/C OI
0.43
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Break below $380 support with increasing put volume
Invalidation: Sustained move above $390 with call volume surge
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -0.5 spot 4.1% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: Price action near $380-$385; GEX flip to positive

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$1.3B bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.93

P/C OI ratio: 0.43

Heavy put premium dominates despite OTM call buying, indicating bearish hedging. Negative gamma and spot below MP favor downside. Net premium -$1.35B and elevated put volume confirm caution.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-17 $382.50 Call
Vol: 11,667
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 111.1x
IV: 8.4%
Notional: ~$12K
Intent: Opening

Read-through: Speculative

#2
MSFT 2026-06-17 $385.00 Call
Vol: 27,978
OI: 262
Vol/OI: 106.8x
IV: 13.3%
Notional: ~$28K
Intent: Sweep

Read-through: Bullish

#3
MSFT 2026-06-17 $387.50 Call
Vol: 35,826
OI: 381
Vol/OI: 94.0x
IV: 18.0%
Notional: ~$36K
Intent: Accumulation

Read-through: Bullish

#4
MSFT 2026-06-17 $390.00 Call
Vol: 38,225
OI: 1,072
Vol/OI: 35.7x
IV: 22.3%
Notional: ~$38K
Intent: Capping
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Bullish

#5
MSFT 2026-06-18 $387.50 Call
Vol: 9,208
OI: 411
Vol/OI: 22.4x
IV: 33.5%
Notional: ~$875K
Intent: Roll out
Dual read: New bullish

Read-through: Bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Deep OTM calls $382.5-$390 for 6/17 expiry, vol/oi >35x, likely spread or lottery.

Put additions: Active put buying $382.5/$385 with vol/oi >16x, hedging downside.

GEX/DEX consistency: Consistent: GEX -$41.5M (short gamma), DEX +96M shares (dealer long delta).

OI clusters: Put OI: $382.5 (1245), $385 (1957); Call OI: $390 (1072).

Hedging evidence: Put buys at $382.5/$385 suggest collars; OTM calls may be upside protection or speculation.

Max pain context: Spot below MP; pin likely near high OI strikes $382.5-$390.

Signal vs Noise

~Noise: Massive low-premium OTM call volume (lottery tickets, spreads).
~Signal: Heavy put buying at key strikes indicates hedging/sentiment shift.
~Signal: Negative net premium ($1.35B) and short GEX confirm bearish positioning.

Key Conclusions

🛡️Put flow at $382.5/$385 shows institutional hedging ahead of expiration.
🎰Deep OTM call volume is mostly noise; ignore lottery-like activity.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.