thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $373.94EOD only
Max Pain
$375.00
Next expiry Jun 24, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.88
1.6% from close
Price Gap
+1.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
37
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.41
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Increased put activity above $370 or price breaks below $367.5
Invalidation: Price closes above $375 with sustained call volume
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: $370; $375

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$204.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.58

P/C OI ratio: 0.41

Heavy 0DTE OTM call volume contrasts with net negative premium from expensive puts. Negative gamma and mixed regime imply uncertainty; spot below max pain.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-24 $367.50 Call
Vol: 4,899
OI: 195
Vol/OI: 25.1x
IV: 8.7%
Notional: ~$20K
Intent: Spec

Read-through: Lottery call

#2
MSFT 2026-06-24 $370.00 Call
Vol: 11,696
OI: 566
Vol/OI: 20.7x
IV: 11.9%
Notional: ~$12K
Intent: Spec

Read-through: Lottery call

#3
MSFT 2026-06-24 $375.00 Call
Vol: 38,995
OI: 2,394
Vol/OI: 16.3x
IV: 20.3%
Notional: ~$39K
Intent: Spec

Read-through: Lottery call

#4
MSFT 2026-06-24 $375.00 Put
Vol: 14,996
OI: 1,087
Vol/OI: 13.8x
IV: 47.4%
Notional: ~$14.7M
Intent: Bear

Read-through: ATM put

#5
MSFT 2026-06-24 $372.50 Call
Vol: 17,362
OI: 1,298
Vol/OI: 13.4x
IV: 15.6%
Notional: ~$87K
Intent: Spec

Read-through: Lottery call

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Large call buying at 375, 377.5 strikes (vol 38.9k, 28.9k) and smaller at 367.5-372.5

Put additions: Heavy put addition at 370, 372.5, 375 strikes (vol 31.4k, 19.5k, 15k)

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX -$25M and positive DEX +91M shares consistent with dealer hedging of short options

OI clusters: Largest OI at 377.5C (3442), 370P (2658), 375C (2394), 372.5P (2002)

Hedging evidence: Defensive put buying suggests hedging; collars not evident

Max pain context: Spot below MP, negative gamma expected to pin price toward MP

Signal vs Noise

~High put volume at 370 is signal; low OI (2658) suggests day trading noise.
~Call volume at 375 is signal; 375 call OI 2394 moderate.
~375 put high IV (47%) is noise from large block trades.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Heavy put buying at 370-375 strikes signals bearish hedging; spot below MP adds downside risk.
📉Negative gamma and strong put flow suggest pinning near MP; watch for reversal.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.