thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $399.76EOD only
Max Pain
$397.50
Next expiry Jun 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.05
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-2.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.44
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $390, gamma pinning supports upside towards $395.
Invalidation: Break below $390 negates bullish bias.
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.5% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: 390; 395

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$105.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.41

P/C OI ratio: 0.43

MSFT sees aggressive call buying ahead of expiration, notably at 395 and 392.5 strikes. Gamma pinning positive, net premium sold suggests hedging. Spot below MP, but bullish flow bias with support at 390.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-17 $395.00 Call
Vol: 22,103
OI: 502
Vol/OI: 44.0x
IV: 25.9%
Notional: ~$5.3M
Intent: Bullish call buy
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Bullish

#2
MSFT 2026-06-17 $392.50 Call
Vol: 10,228
OI: 256
Vol/OI: 40.0x
IV: 26.2%
Notional: ~$3.7M
Intent: Bullish call buy
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Bullish

#3
MSFT 2026-06-17 $392.50 Put
Vol: 5,751
OI: 393
Vol/OI: 14.6x
IV: 24.5%
Notional: ~$1.3M
Intent: Protective put
Dual read: Bearish bet

Read-through: Bearish

#4
MSFT 2026-06-17 $390.00 Put
Vol: 13,868
OI: 1,249
Vol/OI: 11.1x
IV: 24.5%
Notional: ~$1.7M
Intent: Protective put
Dual read: Bearish bet

Read-through: Bearish

#5
MSFT 2026-06-17 $397.50 Call
Vol: 6,566
OI: 639
Vol/OI: 10.3x
IV: 26.3%
Notional: ~$946K
Intent: Bullish call buy
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive short-dated call buying at $395, $392.5, $397.5, $400; long-dated calls at $560 (Nov) and $640 (Sep)

Put additions: Elevated put volume at $390, $392.5, $387.5 for downside hedging

GEX/DEX consistency: Partially consistent: calls align with positive GEX but put buying adds mixed signals

OI clusters: Key OI: $400C (2,062), $395C (502 but 22k vol), $390P (1,249)

Hedging evidence: Put additions at $390 and $387.5 suggest hedging below current spot

Max pain context: Spot ~$393 below MP likely near $395-$400; pinning may pull higher

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi ratio on $395C (44x) likely noise from small OI
~Long-dated calls ($560, $640) may be speculative, not near-term signal
~Sizable put flow at $390P and $387.5P is real hedging signal

Key Conclusions

📈Call buying near spot suggests bullish near-term sentiment
🛡️Downside put flow at $390-$387.5 is hedging, not bearish bet
📊Positive GEX and pinning regime favor upward drift
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.