thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $379.40EOD only
Max Pain
$387.50
Next expiry Jun 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.81
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+8.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.42
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call OI growth and price above $380.
Invalidation: Drop below $370 or put volume spike.
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -0.5 spot 3.9% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: Monitor call activity at $380 and $382.5

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$99.5M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.49

P/C OI ratio: 0.42

Aggressive call buying dominates: 1,200 calls vs 600 puts, total premium +$2.5M (positive net premium confirms net buying). High vol/oi ratios on OTM strikes. Positive DEX and tech sector support bullish tilt.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-18 $377.50 Call
Vol: 32,673
OI: 184
Vol/OI: 177.6x
IV: 15.3%
Notional: ~$6.7M
Intent: Aggressive bullish speculation
Dual read: Short covering or delta hedging

Read-through: Strong near-term bullish bet

#2
MSFT 2026-06-22 $380.00 Call
Vol: 14,796
OI: 319
Vol/OI: 46.4x
IV: 19.4%
Notional: ~$4.6M
Intent: Bullish continuation trade
Dual read: Rolling up from lower strikes

Read-through: Confidence in further upside

#3
MSFT 2026-06-22 $375.00 Call
Vol: 3,486
OI: 108
Vol/OI: 32.3x
IV: 21.9%
Notional: ~$2.2M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSFT 2026-06-22 $377.50 Call
Vol: 3,662
OI: 114
Vol/OI: 32.1x
IV: 20.8%
Notional: ~$1.7M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSFT 2026-06-18 $382.50 Call
Vol: 40,098
OI: 1,291
Vol/OI: 31.1x
IV: 7.4%
Notional: ~$40K
Intent: OTM lottery-style call buying
Dual read: Part of a call spread

Read-through: Tail-risk bullish positioning

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy new calls June 18/22 $377.5-$385; vol/oi >10x

Put additions: Only notable put July $345 (14x vol/oi)

GEX/DEX consistency: Neg GEX -18.7M vs pos DEX +94.8M: short gamma, bullish delta

OI clusters: Largest OI June $380C (3,298) & $377.5C; new volume dwarfs OI

Hedging evidence: Net premium -$99M suggests net selling; July $345 put hedges

Max pain context: Spot below MP; call volumes suggest pin near $380

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi on OTM calls = real bullish signal
~Low VIX (16) reduces noise; focus on directional flow
~Ignore small OI; big weekly volume indicates new bets

Key Conclusions

📈Heavy call buying $377.5-$380 signals bullish bias
⚠️Neg GEX amid heavy calls may accelerate move if $380 breaks
🛡️Net premium negative & July put imply downside hedge
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.