thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $365.46EOD only
Max Pain
$380.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.38
2.6% from close
Price Gap
+14.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.41
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Sustained break below $340
Invalidation: Price closes above $360
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 6.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: $340; $350; $360

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$517.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.67

P/C OI ratio: 0.42

Aggressive call selling dominates with negative net premium. Heavy OTM call volume suggests capped upside. Spot below MP, VIX elevated. Bearish flow.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-26 $360.00 Call
Vol: 37,750
OI: 145
Vol/OI: 260.3x
IV: 36.8%
Notional: ~$4.6M
Intent: aggressive bullish
Dual read: possible short covering

Read-through: very short-term bullish

#2
MSFT 2026-06-26 $350.00 Call
Vol: 7,115
OI: 125
Vol/OI: 56.9x
IV: 34.8%
Notional: ~$3.6M
Intent: bullish speculation

Read-through: bullish

#3
MSFT 2026-07-02 $335.00 Put
Vol: 6,512
OI: 177
Vol/OI: 36.8x
IV: 37.9%
Notional: ~$1.0M
Intent: bearish hedge
Dual read: protective put

Read-through: bearish

#4
MSFT 2026-07-02 $360.00 Call
Vol: 3,782
OI: 170
Vol/OI: 22.2x
IV: 37.9%
Notional: ~$1.7M
Intent: bullish

Read-through: bullish

#5
MSFT 2026-07-02 $365.00 Call
Vol: 2,768
OI: 161
Vol/OI: 17.2x
IV: 38.1%
Notional: ~$858K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy 6/26 $360 (37.8k vol, 260x OI), $350 (7.1k), $365 (19.3k); 7/2 $360-$365 calls

Put additions: 7/2 $335 (6.5k vol, 36.8x), 7/1 $350 (1.8k), 6/26 $345 (15.9k)

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX (-$33.4M) from short-dated call gamma; positive DEX (+93.4M) from long delta

OI clusters: 6/26 $360 call OI 1.5k, $345 put OI 1.3k

Hedging evidence: Put buying across 7/2, 7/1, 6/26 suggests downside hedging

Max pain context: Spot below MP; pinning likely upward but flow mixed

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Aggressive call buying on 6/26 (360,350,365) indicates near-term bullish bets
~Signal: Put buying 7/2 $335 shows hedging for next week
~Signal: Negative net premium (-$517M) confirms bearish flow
~Noise: High vol/OI on 6/26 $360 call may be short covering
~Noise: Small OI on many prints limits conviction

Key Conclusions

📊Call buying at 6/26 $360 (260x vol/OI) suggests bullish bias near expiry
🛡️Put additions on 7/2 $335 (36.8x) indicate hedging for downside
⚖️Negative GEX but positive DEX creates mixed gamma/delta pressure
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.