thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $379.40EOD only
Max Pain
$387.50
Next expiry Jun 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.81
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+8.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.42
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot rises above $380 with sustained volume.
Invalidation: Spot drops below $362.5 or put/call ratio >0.7.
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -0.5 spot 3.3% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor $370 and $380 strikes

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$136.9M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.46

P/C OI ratio: 0.41

Heavy OTM call buying in weekly expiries (370-380) dominates, with high vol/OI ratios. Net premium negative due to short put activity, but call skew signals bullish flow. Put activity lighter.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-22 $370.00 Call
Vol: 52,987
OI: 789
Vol/OI: 67.2x
IV: 6.8%
Notional: ~$212K
Intent: Bullish speculation on move up
Dual read: Could be part of a calendar spread

Read-through: High volume suggests strong bullish conviction

#2
MSFT 2026-06-22 $375.00 Call
Vol: 30,246
OI: 689
Vol/OI: 43.9x
IV: 16.8%
Notional: ~$30K
Intent: Lottery-style call buying
Dual read: May reflect short covering

Read-through: Very low premium, binary payoff

#3
MSFT 2026-06-22 $367.50 Put
Vol: 28,557
OI: 708
Vol/OI: 40.3x
IV: 6.1%
Notional: ~$1.2M
Intent: Protective put or bearish bet
Dual read: Could be a put spread

Read-through: Hedging or directional downside

#4
MSFT 2026-06-22 $370.00 Put
Vol: 37,708
OI: 1,419
Vol/OI: 26.6x
IV: 13.5%
Notional: ~$9.9M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSFT 2026-06-22 $377.50 Call
Vol: 18,365
OI: 821
Vol/OI: 22.4x
IV: 21.1%
Notional: ~$18K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive OTM call buying at $370-$382.5 (vol/OI >15x) but low OI suggests mixture of opening and day trading.

Put additions: Defensive put buying at $367.5-$370 and later-dated $350-$365 puts, hedging into expiry.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX negative (-$2.2M) aligns with short gamma; DEX positive (+89M shares) matches bullish delta, flow mixed but leans bullish.

OI clusters: Key OI concentrations near $370 (call 789, put 1419) from unusual prints, ATM area.

Hedging evidence: Put buying at $367.5-$370 and June 24 puts indicate downside hedging, possible collars.

Max pain context: Spot ($367.32) below max pain; regime notes 'Below' MP, pin risk to upside.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: High vol/OI at $370-$382.5 suggests directional buying, but low OI flags day trading overlap.
~Signal: Put buying at $367.5-$370 and later expirations shows hedging, not bearish flow.
~Noise: Small OI changes at $350 and $365 June 24 puts may be retail or spread activity.
~Noise: $370-$382.5 call OI under 1000 indicates day trading, not institutional.

Key Conclusions

🟢Institutions add OTM calls but low OI warns of day trading; outlook remains cautiously bullish.
🟡Put hedging at $367.5-$370 suggests caution; short gamma adds volatility risk.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.