thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $390.74EOD only
Max Pain
$400.00
Next expiry Jun 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.91
1.8% from close
Price Gap
+9.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
85
High premium
P/C OI
0.43
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above $385 with continued call volume.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $380 or put volume surges.
Confidence:
6.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.7% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: $385; $390

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$27.1M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.41

P/C OI ratio: 0.43

Bullish call dominance and positive gamma support upward bias. Net negative premium hints caution, but pinning near $385-$390 likely. VIX moderate, flow mixed.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-06-12 $385.00 Call
Vol: 29,267
OI: 554
Vol/OI: 52.8x
IV: 37.0%
Notional: ~$14.9M
Intent: Aggressive bullish speculation
Dual read: Or closing short puts

Read-through: Bullish pinning play

#2
MSFT 2026-06-12 $382.50 Call
Vol: 8,057
OI: 215
Vol/OI: 37.5x
IV: 45.1%
Notional: ~$6.5M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
MSFT 2026-06-12 $390.00 Call
Vol: 78,091
OI: 2,734
Vol/OI: 28.6x
IV: 6.5%
Notional: ~$6.0M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSFT 2026-06-15 $385.00 Call
Vol: 2,692
OI: 115
Vol/OI: 23.4x
IV: 23.9%
Notional: ~$1.9M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSFT 2026-06-12 $387.50 Call
Vol: 31,888
OI: 2,086
Vol/OI: 15.3x
IV: 15.7%
Notional: ~$11.3M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call buying at 385, 390, 387.5, 392.5 strikes with vol/OI ratios up to 52.8

Put additions: Put activity at 387.5 with 12.9 vol/OI but negligible premium

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +18M and DEX +88.8M shares consistent with gamma pinning regime

OI clusters: 2000+ OI at 390C, 387.5C, 392.5C; 554 at 385C

Hedging evidence: Minimal; no significant put positioning or collars detected

Max pain context: Spot below max pain; pinning expected toward large OI strikes

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual call prints at 385, 390, 387.5, 392.5 are real institutional buying signal
~Net negative premium but call volume dominant; noise from low-cost deep OTM calls

Key Conclusions

📈Call volume dominant at 385-390 but net premium negative; mixed signal for directional bet
⚠️Heavy put volume at 387.5 with near-zero premium may be hedging or spreads, not directional
📌GEX positive pinning likely to hold spot near 385-390 range through expiration
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.