thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $403.41EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry Jun 10, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.86
1.4% from close
Price Gap
+11.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
57
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 9, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Continued put accumulation and break below $400
Invalidation: Spot rallies above Max Pain and call open interest builds
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 spot 1.9% from MP

Watch next session: Sustained put volume; Gamma flip signal

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$48.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.56

P/C OI ratio: 0.46

Heavy call and put concentration near $400 with far OTM call speculation; net premium negative and negative GEX hint at bearish dealer positioning amid broad market selloff.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-11-20 $580.00 Call
Vol: 17,393
OI: 142
Vol/OI: 122.5x
IV: 38.9%
Notional: ~$7.1M
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Hedging possible

Read-through: Long-term bullish

#2
MSFT 2026-06-10 $402.50 Call
Vol: 22,862
OI: 941
Vol/OI: 24.3x
IV: 17.1%
Notional: ~$229K
Intent: Speculative call buying
Dual read: Gamma scalping

Read-through: Bullish

#3
MSFT 2026-06-10 $405.00 Call
Vol: 55,955
OI: 2,390
Vol/OI: 23.4x
IV: 18.0%
Notional: ~$56K
Intent: Speculative call buying
Dual read: Closing shorts

Read-through: Bullish

#4
MSFT 2026-06-10 $400.00 Call
Vol: 10,805
OI: 469
Vol/OI: 23.0x
IV: 16.2%
Notional: ~$346K
Intent: Delta call buying
Dual read: Hedging

Read-through: Bullish

#5
MSFT 2026-07-24 $350.00 Put
Vol: 6,272
OI: 398
Vol/OI: 15.8x
IV: 33.6%
Notional: ~$1.7M
Intent: Bearish put buying
Dual read: Hedging long

Read-through: Bearish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls added at Nov $580 (122x OI) and today's 400-405 strikes.

Put additions: Puts added at today's 400P (12.6x) and July $350.

GEX/DEX consistency: Mixed: GEX negative, DEX positive.

OI clusters: OI at 400 strike and Nov $480 call.

Hedging evidence: July $350 puts for downside hedge.

Max pain context: Spot 1.9% below MP, pin possible.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Nov $580 calls 122x OI suggest institutional long-term bullish.
~Noise: 0DTE call volume on 400-405 strikes likely retail/hedging.
~Signal: Negative GEX and below MP create gamma risk.
~Noise: Negative net premium misleading; call volume dominates.

Key Conclusions

🚀Nov $580 call buying at 122x OI is a strong bullish signal for longer-term.
⚠️Negative GEX and spot below MP increase volatility risk; July $350 puts hedge.
📉Today's 400P put buying shows hedging ahead of expiry.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.