thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $418.57EOD only
Max Pain
$412.50
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.90
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-6.07
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
23
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call buying above $415 and low put/call ratio confirm bullish bias.
Invalidation: Break below $410 support with surge in put volume or gamma flip.
Confidence:
10 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.2% from MP; +1 VIX 17; override: Massive unusual call buying with 85+ vol/OI ratios

Watch next session: Continuation of call buying; Price action around $415-$420; Volume on put side

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$108.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.42

P/C OI ratio: 0.46

Massive call buying dominated MSFT flow on 5/26 with over 150k contracts at $415-420 strikes, signaling strong bullish conviction. Net premium +$108M, put/call ratio 0.42. Sustained buying above $415 supports bullish outlook.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-05-26 $415.00 Call
Vol: 51,605
OI: 597
Vol/OI: 86.4x
IV: 12.0%
Notional: ~$5.7M
Intent: Bullish speculation

Read-through: Expects large move up

#2
MSFT 2026-05-26 $417.50 Call
Vol: 57,493
OI: 676
Vol/OI: 85.0x
IV: 3.6%
Notional: ~$57K
Intent: Bullish speculation

Read-through: Expects move above 417.5

#3
MSFT 2026-05-27 $415.00 Call
Vol: 7,312
OI: 252
Vol/OI: 29.0x
IV: 19.4%
Notional: ~$2.1M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSFT 2026-05-26 $415.00 Put
Vol: 35,061
OI: 1,249
Vol/OI: 28.1x
IV: 3.5%
Notional: ~$105K
Intent: Hedging or bearish
Dual read: Possible collar with call

Read-through: Hedging at 415 or bearish

#5
MSFT 2026-05-26 $420.00 Call
Vol: 45,093
OI: 2,295
Vol/OI: 19.6x
IV: 8.4%
Notional: ~$45K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call volume at $415, $417.5, $420 for 5/26 expiry; also $415, $417.5 for 5/27.

Put additions: Put activity at $415, $412.5, $410 for 5/26; $415, $410 for 5/27.

GEX/DEX consistency: Consistent: GEX +$182.8M, DEX +80.3M shares; regime bullish and pinning.

OI clusters: Largest OI: $420 call (2295), $415 put (1249), $410 put (1202).

Max pain context: Spot at max pain; pinning expected.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: High vol/oi call buying at $415-$420 OTM strikes indicating bullish sentiment.
~Signal: Put volume at $415/$410 suggests hedging but lower conviction.
~Noise: Very low IV trades ($0.01) on some contracts may be closing or small positions.

Key Conclusions

📈Bulls adding upside exposure at $415-$420, near MP with strong GEX support.
⚠️Put activity at $410-$415 provides minor hedging, but not dominating.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.