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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $407.77EOD only

Max Pain

$410.00

Next expiry May 13, 2026

Expected Move

±$5.10

1.3% from close

Price Gap

+2.23

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.49

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

6.5/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: May 12, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 12, 2026 close

MSFT Flow Report

Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

Confidence:

9 / 10

base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: $400 Call; $405 Call; $410 Call

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$54.2M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.42

P/C OI ratio: 0.48

Bullish flow with aggressive call buying at $405, $410, and $400 strikes. Key put support at $397.5. Positive gamma/delta, low put/call ratios, pinning regime upward. SPY/QQQ positive, VIX moderate.

Notable Prints

MSFT 2026-05-13 $405.00 Call

Vol: 67,094

OI: 433

Vol/OI: 154.9x

IV: 1.9%

Notional: ~$1.7M

Intent: speculative call buying

Read-through: extreme vol/oi, low IV, short-term bullish

MSFT 2026-05-13 $402.50 Call

Vol: 16,369

OI: 215

Vol/OI: 76.1x

IV: 10.5%

Notional: ~$4.2M

Intent: bullish

Read-through: high vol/oi, ATM

MSFT 2026-05-13 $407.50 Call

Vol: 45,527

OI: 1,966

Vol/OI: 23.2x

IV: 5.5%

Notional: ~$46K

Intent: lottery

Read-through: high vol/oi, deep OTM

MSFT 2026-05-13 $402.50 Put

Vol: 19,733

OI: 1,073

Vol/OI: 18.4x

IV: 6.3%

Notional: ~$20K

Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

MSFT 2026-05-13 $400.00 Call

Vol: 3,778

OI: 207

Vol/OI: 18.2x

IV: 21.7%

Notional: ~$1.9M

Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call buying at 405, 402.5, 407.5, 410 strikes; vol/OI up to 154x

Put additions: Put additions at 400 and 402.5; vol/OI up to 18x, likely hedges

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$56.6M, DEX +81.7M shares; consistent with bullish flow

OI clusters: 410C OI 4395, 400P OI 3430, 397.5P OI 1197; max pain near 400

Hedging evidence: Put buying at 400/402.5 suggests protective collars

Max pain context: Spot near max pain; pinning expected with bullish bias

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/OI call buying (405C 154x, 402.5C 76x) is real signal

~Put buying at 400 (vol/OI 12x) may be hedging noise

~407.5C with 23x vol/OI but last $0.01 is noise (waste)

Key Conclusions

📈Bullish positioning with heavy call additions at 405/402.5; GEX/DEX aligned.

⚠️Put buying at 400 suggests hedging; watch for downside if spot breaks below 400.

📊OI clusters show pinning around 400; calls above indicate upside bias.

How to Use These Reports

This flow reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.