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ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1762.77EOD only
Max Pain
$1780.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$79.60
4.5% from close
Price Gap
+17.23
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
14
Low premium
P/C OI
1.29
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score is 6 not 8 because the conflicting put flow and event risk create uncertainty; if the $1700 support holds and IV stabilizes, conviction would rise to 7.5.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on a bullish bias with gamma pinning near $1775 and strong support at $1700, but high IV and an earnings event in 20 days temper conviction.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows heavy put buying at $1700 (bearish hedge) contradicting the bullish gamma/delta and directional thesis that spot holds above $1800; also, theta warns of IV crush while earnings expects a sustained move.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $1720/$1700 put credit spread for $0.60 credit ($1.40 max risk) — defined risk, plays the pin at support, and benefits from IV contraction.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 gamma flip flips dealer long to short, accelerating downside toward $1600 and invalidating the bullish thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.