thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1778.46EOD only
Max Pain
$1785.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$90.65
5.1% from close
Price Gap
+6.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
13
Low premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not 7 because put buying signal conflicts with range pin, but dealer positioning and positive net flow still support the pin scenario.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $1700-$1780 range supported by dealer long delta, max pain proximity, and net positive premium, but elevated put skew and negative GEX add caution.

Where They Diverge

Flow's heavy put buying at $1660 and defensive put OI at $1700 for earnings hedge directly contradict the range-bound thesis, implying institutional hedging for a downside break.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell 2026-07-10 $1750/$1740 put wing and $1800/$1810 call wing iron condor for $0.45 credit — defined risk, profits from pre-earnings range, and aligns with earnings timing.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 flips dealer gamma to long, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating downside toward $1660 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.