thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1929.25EOD only
Max Pain
$1750.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$104.45
5.4% from close
Price Gap
-179.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
13
Low premium
P/C OI
1.26
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 22, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because the bullish call activity conflicts with the bearish GEX and put flow, lowering confidence in the breakdown thesis; not 4 because multiple personas agree on $1700 as a key downside support.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish pin near $1785 max pain with negative dealer gamma and risk of breakdown below $1700, reinforced by put-heavy flow and inverted IV term structure.

Where They Diverge

Flow reports a large bullish $1850 call buyer and unusual call activity, contradicting the bearish directional thesis; earnings suggests a bull call spread to $2140, opposing the pin/breakdown view.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $1700/$1620 bear put spread for $20.00 debit

Key Risk

Break below $1700 flips dealer gamma long, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating downside to $1620 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.