thetaOwl
HomeOptionsASMLReports

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1929.68EOD only
Max Pain
$1700.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$61.10
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-229.68
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.36
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because earnings in 23 days create binary event risk that could invalidate the pin thesis regardless of current positioning, and mixed flow (puts vs calls) reduces confidence in a clean trend.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish bias with pin near $1700 and resistance at $2100 — GEX, flow, and earnings all support upside drift, with dealer gamma amplifying any move toward $2100.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows bullish call accumulation and net premium, but put skew (PCR 1.89) and deep OTM put at $1450 signal hedging against downside, undermining the pure bullish thesis. Earnings term structure implies IV crush post-event, contradicting the directional continuation above $2100.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $2100/$2200 call credit spread for $5.00 credit — defined risk, profits from pin, resistance at $2100.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 flips dealer gamma from positive to negative, triggering selling pressure and downside acceleration toward $1600 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.