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ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1929.68EOD only

Max Pain

$1700.00

Next expiry Jun 26, 2026

Expected Move

±$61.10

3.2% from close

Price Gap

-229.68

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

100

High premium

P/C OI

1.36

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

7.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 18, 2026 close

ASML AI Consensus Report

Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction

7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the earnings binary in 27 days creates event risk that current pinning and flow cannot guarantee; if price holds through earnings conviction rises to 9.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on bullish pin near $1700 with dealer short-gamma, institutional call accumulation at 1930-1950, and high IV favoring premium selling.

Where They Diverge

Directional and flow bullish spreads rely on continued upside, but earnings term structure implies post-earnings volatility crush, undermining long premium trades; theta's short premium also risks gap-to-the-upside or downside from event.

Top Trade

via directional

Buy 2026-07-17 $1920/$2140 bull call spread for net debit of $12.50 — defined risk, profits from bullish pin, expires after earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 flips dealer gamma long and invalidates pin thesis — downside accelerates to $1400 support.

How to Use These Reports

This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.