thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1863.55EOD only
Max Pain
$1500.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$103.60
5.6% from close
Price Gap
-363.55
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.41
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 4 because GEX and pinning are strong; not 8 because earnings in 33 days and put-heavy flow introduce binary risk that current positioning doesn't fully hedge.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin to $1730-1900 zone with dealer gamma support and high IV creating premium-selling opportunities, but caution warranted 33 days before earnings.

Where They Diverge

Directional sees bullish continuation above $1730, while flow notes heavy institutional put buying at 1880/1810 hedging downside - this hedge undermines the unbridled bullish thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-17 $1680/$1480 put credit spread for $2.00 credit, max risk $18.00 - defined risk income play staying above support.

Key Risk

Break below $1650 flips dealer gamma from bullish to bearish, triggering a cascade to $1480 support as put OI cluster fails.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.