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ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1592.00EOD only
Max Pain
$1495.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$34.95
2.2% from close
Price Gap
-97.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
32
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
4.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
4.0

out of 10

4 not 5 because the bullish flow signals directly conflict with the bearish GEX and technical setup, reducing confidence in a clear directional move; earnings in 9 days adds event risk.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias with downside risk to $1150 — negative GEX, spot below max pain, and high IV reinforce a weak technical setup.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows net premium positive $36.2M and P/C >1 indicating bullish positioning, contradicting the bearish directional and earnings perspectives.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy $1300/$1240 put spread 4/17 — defined risk, profits from downside to $1150, expires pre-earnings.

Key Risk

Break above $1340 flips max pain and neutralizes GEX pressure — upside invalidates bearish thesis and could trigger short squeeze to $1400.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.