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ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1867.31EOD only
Max Pain
$1735.00
Next expiry Oct 9, 2026
Expected Move
±$41.10
2.2% from close
Price Gap
-132.31
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
6
Low premium
P/C OI
1.10
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Oct 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Oct 2, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because earnings event in 19 days introduces binary risk and heightened IV that could disrupt short-term bearish moves; lower confidence due to mixed flow signals from unusual call activity at $1900.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias toward $1700 support driven by negative dealer gamma, dominant put flow, and high put/call ratios across volume and OI.

Where They Diverge

Theta's neutral-to-bullish range strategies (put credit spread below $1700) conflict with directional and flow bearish break thesis, but earnings put skew and IV term structure favor bearish positioning near-term.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy Jul 17 $1820/$1760 bear put spread for $30.00 debit per spread.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 flips dealer gamma long, removing downside support and accelerating decline toward $1600.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.