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ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1803.89EOD only
Max Pain
$1550.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$66.80
3.7% from close
Price Gap
-253.89
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.32
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not 6.5 because directional bullish thesis conflicts with heavy put flow and call walls; not 4 because dealer GEX and positive gamma still support near-term pinning.

Where Perspectives Agree

Heavy put hedging and elevated IV suggest a protective stance, pinning near $1800-$1850 with risk of mean reversion toward max pain $1560.

Where They Diverge

Directional bullish expectation of upward drift to $1918 contradicts $2000 call walls and extreme put skew, which imply capped upside and downside hedging pressure.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-26 $1840/$1820 put spread and $1880/$1900 call spread for net credit $0.65 — profits from range-bound pinning.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 support invalidates pinning thesis and triggers dealer gamma flip, accelerating decline to $1560 max pain.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.