thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1892.66EOD only
Max Pain
$1520.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$89.60
4.7% from close
Price Gap
-372.66
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
98
High premium
P/C OI
1.31
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Downside lean
Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 15, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.0

out of 10

5 not 6 because three bearish personas conflict with one high-confidence bullish directional, reducing signal alignment.

Where Perspectives Agree

High IV and gamma pinning near $1550 MP, but spot at $1800 is stretched; all personas see downside risk from put skew and concentrated put OI.

Where They Diverge

Directional bullish (bull call spread) directly contradicts flow bearish (net premium, high put/call ratios) and earnings' capped upside thesis.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell 2026-07-17 $1900/$1950 call spread for $1.20 credit.

Key Risk

Break below $1400 flips dealer gamma long, triggering stop-loss cascade and accelerating decline to $1300 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.