thetaOwl
HomeOptionsASMLReports

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1863.55EOD only
Max Pain
$1500.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$103.60
5.6% from close
Price Gap
-363.55
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.41
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 12, 2026 close
ASML AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because bearish flow undermines pin conviction; not lower because dealer gamma provides near-term support limiting downside.

Where Perspectives Agree

Dealer long gamma pins spot near $1890, but heavy put hedging at $1750/$1730 creates downside pressure—reinforcing a rangebound thesis near current levels.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows net put premium $162M and unusual bearish prints, directly contradicting the bullish pin signal from GEX; short-dated theta trades conflict with longer-term earnings positioning.

Top Trade
via earnings

Sell 2026-07-17 $1760/$1600 put wing and $2120/$2340 call wing for ~$15.50 credit — capped neutral, defined risk, profits from pin.

Key Risk

Break below $1700 triggers stop-loss on put hedges and flips dealer gamma long to short — downside accelerates to $1520 max pain.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.