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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $372.11EOD only

Max Pain

$377.50

Next expiry Sep 28, 2026

Expected Move

±$7.00

1.9% from close

Price Gap

+5.39

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

0.78

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

5.5/10

Range bias

Published snapshot: Sep 25, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Sep 25, 2026 close

TSLA Theta Report

Analysis based on market close May 13, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 13, 2026. A newer theta report is available for June 29, 2026.

View latest report

Theta Verdict

Confidence:

8.5 / 10

base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 4.2% from MP; +1 VIX 18

IV Environment

IV Regime

High

IV vs VIX

IV (63%) significantly elevated relative to VIX (18%)

Favorable?

Yes

Term structure: Near-term IV elevated with steep put skew; term structure irregular but generally contango beyond 2DTE

⚠️Put skew elevated across tenors; mid-term IV high

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Above

GEX regime: Pinning ($+447.1M)

OI concentrations: Max pain pins: $428 (0DTE), $400 (2DTE), $420 (5DTE); call wall $475-$600; put floor $250-$300

Verdict: Moderate pin risk; spot above nearest max pain ($428), support at $427.5 and $409.89

Premium Opportunities

Put credit spread

Sell 2026-07-17 $425.00/$420.00 put spread

Sell $425/$420 put spread to capture theta decay while limiting downside risk.

Credit: $1.89-$2.31

Max loss: $2.69

BE: $422.69

Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or before earnings; adjust strikes if support breaks.

Cash-secured put

Sell 2026-07-17 $425.00 cash-secured put

Sell $425 put to collect premium, holding cash to buy shares if assigned.

Credit: $22.16-$27.09

Max loss: $397.91

BE: $397.91

Mgmt: Roll or close if spot drops below $420; consider early assignment risk.

Risk Alerts

!Put skew elevated

!Spot near $450 resistance

!High IV expands theta decay opportunity but increases gap risk

How to Use These Reports

This theta reflects the market close on May 13, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.