Term structure: Very steep term structure: near-term 3–10d IVs 29.9%–39.7%, then a jump at 14d (51.5%) and elevated levels through 35–98d (≈44–48%) — favorable for calendar/diagonal and front-month defined-risk wings
Spot vs MP: Below (Spot $348.95 vs Max Pain $350-$355) — spot is ~1%–2% below nearest MPs
GEX regime: Trending (GEX -$25.7M) — negative GEX magnitude large enough to accelerate moves; dealers short gamma
Gamma flip: ~$300.00 — Gamma flip ~ $300 — below this dealers flip to long gamma; current spot well above flip so we remain in negative-gamma environment where moves can trend
OI concentrations: Call walls: large OI at $400-$500; Near-term call OI clusters at $350 (3,160), $360 (3,855), $380 (4,515). Put concentration: $300 put OI 19,083; near-spot puts at $340 (3,756), $320 (3,281).
#1put spread
Sell 330/320 put spread — 2026-05-15 (≈35 DTE)
High IV term premium out in 35d (ATM ~46.1%) and put OI clusters/near-term support below spot (330 and 320 are within put floor area). Defined-risk bull put spread captures elevated put premium while limiting tail risk given negative GEX.
Mgmt: Take 60–70% of max profit (close) at price target; roll down and widen if underlying moves to within 2–3% of short strike or roll to next month if credit remains attractive; cut loss (buy back) if TSLA closes below $320 or if position reaches 80% of max loss.
#2iron condor
Sell 330/320 put spread + sell 360/370 call spread — 2026-05-15 (≈35 DTE)
Constructs a skewed condor that leans bullish (puts closer) while collecting rich call premium on the elevated IV surface. Uses defined risk to protect against TSLA trending moves; T+1–2 week EM shows $336–361 band so 360 short is just above 1-week EM upper guardrail.
Mgmt: Close at 50% of max profit; tighten/close the side that is tested when underlying trades within 1–1.5% of short strike; if either short strike is breached by close, consider rolling that side 10–15 points away or close entire condor if both short strikes are tested. Cut losses at 60–70% of max loss.
#3call spread
Sell 360/365 call spread — 2026-04-24 or 2026-05-01 (14–21 DTE) — use weekly only if IV remains elevated
Short-dated defined-risk call spread above local pin magnets ($350/$355) to capture premium while limiting assignment risk. Near-term 7–14d calls show low mid premiums for OTM strikes but IV jump at 14d makes the trade more attractive with controlled risk.
Mgmt: Close at 65% of max profit; if TSLA pushes above $355 and approaches $360, either roll up + widen (if skew supports) or close when tested. Cut losses at 50% of max loss if spread goes ITM by >50% move in value.
#4covered call
Sell 1× 355 call against 100 shares — 2026-04-13 or 2026-04-20 (1–2 week) for income, or 2026-05-15 for higher premium
For stock holders wanting yield: short 355 call sits at/near max pain and local OI magnet. Use short duration when you want quick theta; longer-dated gives richer premium but increases event exposure.
Mgmt: Roll up/away if assigned risk is unacceptable and stock is called (roll to next month higher strike); close if TSLA > short strike by >1–2% pre-expiration or if earnings (do not hold through earnings).
!Earnings 2026-04-21 / 2026-04-22 (within ~12 days): avoid selling naked premium through the event; prefer defined-risk structures or close before announcement.
!Negative total GEX (-$25.7M) — trending gamma regime increases chance of fast directional moves; use defined-risk spreads and conservative sizing.
!Local gamma flip ~ $300 — a crash below $300 would change dealer behavior and risk profile dramatically (open downside tail risk).
!Large concentrated premium flow and OI at high strikes ($400–$500) and large put OI at $300 (19,083) — institutional positioning can create gaps; watch unusual flow (net negative premium) at $500 and heavy call buying at $340/$335 indicating directional bets.
!Near-term EM / guardrails: 2d band $341.45–$356.45 and 1w $336.73–$361.18 — trades that short outside these bounds have elevated early assignment and tail risk.