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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $418.57EOD only
Max Pain
$412.50
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.90
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-6.07
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
13
Low premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 9, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 9, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 22, 2026.

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Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 because dealer gamma and OTM pin concentration provide a real short-term stabilizer, but conviction is tempered by clustered expiries and meaningful institutional net-sell pressure that can overwhelm the pin on any macro/data/positioning shock — preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned into the $370–$375 band with dealer short-gamma creating a magnet and a bias to grind inside that range into near-term expiries; consensus is for range-bound, theta-friendly trade opportunities rather than a clean directional breakout.

Where They Diverge

Flow/institutional signals (large net premium selling) directly undermine the dealer-pin thesis by creating the backdrop for a volatility spike and directional move if sellers force repositioning; simultaneously, concentrated long-dated call OI creates structural upside cap that conflicts with any high-conviction bullish breakout thesis. In short: pinning implies stability, but institutional selling and long-call stacking create credible pathways for a violent resolution away from the pin.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 $365/$360 put spread for a net credit (bull put spread)

Key Risk

A break below $368.42 (pin failure) triggered by sustained selling or a volatility spike flips dealer gamma to neutral/short-buying removal and accelerates downside toward $363 then $356 — this single level/trigger would invalidate the pin-based thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 9, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.