thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $419.09EOD only
Max Pain
$417.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.98
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-1.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
17
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSFT AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 6, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 21, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not higher because net premium selling and mixed flow create headwinds against the pin, and earnings on 4/29 adds binary risk that could break the pin regardless of current positioning.

Where Perspectives Agree

Neutral pin to $368-$370 — strong GEX support and positive DEX reinforce mean reversion, but net premium selling and mixed flow temper bullish bias.

Where They Diverge

Directional's GEX pinning and positive DEX support mean reversion, but net premium selling and mixed flow indicate institutional selling pressure, undermining the pin's stability.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 13 $370/$365 put spread for defined risk credit — profits from pin to max pain, expires pre-earnings.

Key Risk

Break below $370 flips GEX support and triggers institutional selling cascade — downside accelerates toward $365 support.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 6, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.