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SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $17.71EOD only

Max Pain

$15.00

Next expiry Jun 18, 2026

Expected Move

±$0.77

4.3% from close

Price Gap

-2.71

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

100

High premium

P/C OI

0.48

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

7.5/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 16, 2026 close

SOFI Directional Report

Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias targeting $18 near-term, underpinned by strong GEX/flow alignment and max pain pinning to $17. High IV and resistance at $18 temper upside, but positive dealer positioning supports the bias.

Confidence:

7.5 / 10

Base 5; +2 GEX/flow aligned; +1 GEX pinning; -1 spot 16.1% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18 => 7.5.

Supports: Bullish flow, $+145.5M GEX, +119.8M DEX, pinning to $17 max pain, spot above MP.
Conflicts: High IV, spot far from MP (16.1%), resistance at $18, gamma flip ~$15.

🐂Bullish flow & positive GEX support upside.

📌Gamma pinning at $17 max pain (6/26, 7/2 expiries).

⚠️High IV indicates elevated volatility risk.

🔒Resistance at $18; breakout needed for further gains.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

IV high relative to VIX 18.44, consistent with elevated uncertainty and event risk.

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Positive gamma $+145.5M with pinning to $17 max pain; gamma flip ~$15 from put concentration.

Flow Regime

Bullish

Bullish net premium flow; P/C ratio supports upside bias.

Spot vs Max Pain

Above

Spot above max pain $15-$17, implying upward bias but reversion risk.

Thesis duration: Event-specific — High vol, pinning to $17 (weekly expiries), bullish flow, and short-dated gamma.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days

$16.83$18.01

Resistance $18.01, support $16.83; gamma pinning to $17.

Next 1 week

$16.10$18.75

Expiry $17 max pain; upside to $18.75.

Next 2 weeks

$15.71$19.14

Range $15.71-$19.14; gamma flip risk at $15.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $15 (2026-06-18); $17 (2026-06-26); $17 (2026-07-02)

EM guardrails: 2d $16.83/$18.01; 1w $16.10/$18.75

Support: $15.71

Resistance: $18.00 · $19.14

Gamma flip: ~$15.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,567 (13.9% below spot)

Structural: Max pain pins $15 (6/18), $17 (6/26, 7/2). EM guardrails: 2d $16.83/$18.01, 1w $16.10/$18.75, 2w $15.71/$19.14. Support $15.71, resistance $18.0/$19.14. Gamma flip ~$15.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+145.5M

DEX: +119.8M shares

Gamma flip: ~$15 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,567 (13.9% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX +$145.5M, DEX +119.8M shares; gamma flip ~$15 (put OI concentration).

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX 18.44; high vol regime.

Term structure: Front-end elevated due to weekly event risk.

Skew: Put skew elevated; consider call spreads for upside.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium $10.7M positive; put/call volume ratio 0.42 indicates strong call bias, consistent with bullish flow.

Directional prints: 67.2 call 19 OTM 2026-06-18 — Massive 55k volume vs 23k OI (vol/OI 2.4x); likely bought as bullish upside bet; preferred read: aggressive call buying. 59.8 put 18 ITM 2026-06-18 — Vol/OI 7.8x; could be sold for premium or bought for hedge; given bullish flow, likely sold puts. 57 put 17.5 ITM 2026-06-18 — Vol/OI 2.9x; likely put selling as bullish bet on support.

Unusual: 59.8 put 18 ITM 2026-06-18 — High vol/OI 7.8x; possible sold puts (bullish) or protective buying; preferred read: sold puts. 56.3 put 18.5 ITM 2026-06-18 — Unusual vol/OI 7.0x; likely sold puts by bullish players. 89.1 put 10 OTM 2026-07-17 — Deep OTM put with high IV; vol/OI 5.6x; possible hedge or lottery ticket.

Risks & Catalysts

!Spot gap below gamma flip ~$15.

!Failed breakout above $18 resistance.

!Vol crush post-expiry.

Strategy Viability

Strategy	Edge	Best Setup	Primary Risk
Put credit spread	Moderate-Strong	Sell 2026-06-26 $15.50/$15.00 put spread Why now: High GEX at 17, call flow bullish; defined risk with high win rate.	Spot below 16 at expiry; resistance at 18 caps upside.
Bull call spread	Moderate	Buy 2026-06-26 $18.00/$18.50 call spread Why now: Call flow at 18, 19 shows bullish bias; cheap way to capitalize.	Stock stays below 17; time decay if flat.
Bullish risk reversal	Moderate	Buy 2026-06-26 $18.00 call / sell 2026-06-26 $15.50 put Why now: Call buying heavy; put cheap due to high IV; follows big flow.	Sharp drop below 16; unlimited put assignment risk.
Cash-secured put	Moderate-Weak	Sell 2026-06-26 $15.50 cash-secured put Why now: Bullish long-term view; high IV inflates premium; supports entry.	Stock falls well below 16; opportunity cost if rallies.

Top Plays

Bull Call Spread at Resistance

Buy 2026-06-26 $18.00/$18.50 call spread

Buy $18 call, sell $18.50 call to bet on breakout with limited risk.

Why this play: Aligns with $18 target, cheap with favorable risk-reward.

Debit: $0.13-$0.15

Max loss: $0.15

BE: $18.15

Mgmt: Exit if stock drops below $17; take profit near $18.50.

Traders expecting moderate upside to $18.

Put Credit Spread for Premium

Sell 2026-06-26 $15.50/$15.00 put spread

Sell $15.50 put, buy $15 put to collect credit with downside protection.

Why this play: High win rate, defined risk, benefits from bullish flow.

Credit: $0.05-$0.06

Max loss: $0.44

BE: $15.44

Mgmt: Close if stock falls below $15.71; hold to expiry if above $15.50.

Conservative bullish traders seeking income.

Risk Reversal Following Flow

Buy 2026-06-26 $18.00 call / sell 2026-06-26 $15.50 put

Buy $18 call, sell $15.50 put to finance upside via put premium.

Why this play: Mirrors aggressive call buying, unlimited upside potential.

Debit: $0.29-$0.35

Max loss: $15.50

BE: $15.50

Mgmt: Monitor closely; exit if stock breaches $15.50 to cap losses.

Aggressive traders with high conviction.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers

IFIF SOFI holds above $15.71 support → THEN sell 2026-06-26 $15.50/$15.00 put spread (sofi_bull_put_credit)

IFIF SOFI breaks above $18.00 resistance → THEN buy 2026-06-26 $18.00/$18.50 call spread (sofi_bull_call_spread)

IFIF SOFI stays above $15.71 and bullish flow persists → THEN execute bullish risk reversal: buy $18 call, sell $15.50 put (sofi_risk_reversal)

Exit Triggers

EXITIF SOFI drops below $15.71 → THEN close all bullish positions

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias targeting $18 near-term on strong GEX/flow. Key support $15.71, resistance $18.00. Favor put credit spread for income, bull call spread for breakout, risk reversal for aggressive. Exit if $15.71 breaks.

How to Use These Reports

This directional reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.