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SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $16.58EOD only

Max Pain

$15.00

Next expiry Jun 18, 2026

Expected Move

±$0.96

5.8% from close

Price Gap

-1.58

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

High premium

P/C OI

0.48

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

9.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 12, 2026 close

SOFI Directional Report

Analysis based on market close June 15, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias underpinned by strong flow and positive gamma pinning; spot 14% above MP adds friction. Upside targets $17.95 (2d) and $18.75 (2w).

Confidence:

8 / 10

Base 5, +2 GEX/flow aligned, +1 gamma pinning, -1 spot 14% from MP, +1 VIX 16

Supports: Bullish flow, positive GEX, low put/call, VIX support
Conflicts: Spot 14.2% above max pain ($15), short-term overextended

📈Bullish flow dominates; calls buying

📍14% above max pain; reversion risk

🔒$115.9M GEX strong pinning support

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

IV High; elevated due to events and momentum

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Pinning; $115.9M GEX supports spot, dampens downside

Flow Regime

Bullish

Bullish; call buying dominates net premium

Spot vs Max Pain

Above

Above; spot > $15 MP by 14% – bullish but risky

Thesis duration: Multi-week — Multiple option expiry dates (6/18, 6/26, 7/2) indicate multi-week horizon

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days

$16.31$17.95

Range $16.31-$17.95; upside with EM support

Next 2 weeks

$15.51$18.75

Range $15.51-$18.75; resist $18/$18.75; support $15.51

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $15 (2026-06-18); $17 (2026-06-26); $17 (2026-07-02)

EM guardrails: 2d $16.31/$17.95

Support: $15.51

Resistance: $18.00 · $18.75

Gamma flip: ~$15.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,792 (12.4% below spot)

Structural: Support: $15.51 (2w low), $15 (gamma flip). Resistance: $18, $18.75 (2w high). EM guardrails: 2d $16.31/$17.95. Max pain pins: $15 (6/18), $17 (6/26), $17 (7/2).

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+115.9M

DEX: +109.2M shares

Gamma flip: ~$15 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,792 (12.4% below spot))

NTM gamma: Gamma positive $115.9M; delta positive 109.2M shares; flip near $15 (put concentration).

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV elevated vs VIX 16.2; opportunity for premium sellers if event risk overpriced

Term structure: Steep with consecutive weekly expirations; front-end elevated on events

Skew: Call skew elevated; put skew steep; sell puts at $15 support attractive

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium positive $12.5M, P/C vol ratio 0.37, strong call dominance.

Directional prints: 57.2 call 17.5 OTM 2026-06-18 — Vol 26,185 vs OI 12,992 (2.0x), likely bought. Bullish call accumulation, high conviction. Preferred read: bullish. 51.8 put 17.5 ITM 2026-06-26 — Vol 3,731 vs OI 1,564 (2.4x), likely bought. Bearish put buying, tail hedge or directional short. Preferred read: bearish. 129.1 call 6 ITM 2026-10-16 — Vol 1,158 vs OI 276 (4.2x), likely bought. Deep ITM call, bullish long-term bet. Preferred read: bullish.

Unusual: 78.1 put 12.5 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 10.1, vol 1,530 vs OI 151, extreme ratio. Likely bought as cheap OTM put for protection or speculation. Preferred read: bearish. 63.7 call 18 OTM 2026-07-31 — Vol/OI 3.9, vol 409 vs OI 105, likely bought. OTM call buying, bullish sentiment. Preferred read: bullish. 61.7 call 20 OTM 2026-07-31 — Vol/OI 2.6, vol 594 vs OI 225, likely bought. Further OTM call, aggressive bullish bet. Preferred read: bullish.

Risks & Catalysts

!Spot reversion to $15 max pain if momentum fades

!Gamma flip below $15 triggers dealer selling

!Volatility crush after events reduces premium

!Overextension into resistance at $18

Strategy Viability

Strategy	Edge	Best Setup	Primary Risk
Put credit spread	Moderate	Sell 2026-08-21 $15.00/$14.00 put spread Why now: Strong call flow and positive gamma pinning support bull case. Selling OTM put spread captures time decay while limiting downside risk.	If spot drops below 15, max loss incurred. Earnings risk if held through.
Bull call spread	Moderate	Buy 2026-08-21 $16.00/$18.00 call spread Why now: Flow shows call accumulation and bullish lean. Spread limits cost and defines risk.	If spot stays below 16, debit lost. Time decay works against before earnings.
Bullish risk reversal	Moderate-Weak	Buy 2026-08-21 $18.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $15.00 put Why now: Low cost way to express bullish view. Strong call flow supports upside.	Unlimited upside potential but short put exposes to downside beyond 15.

Top Plays

Bull Call Spread

Buy 2026-08-21 $16.00/$18.00 call spread

Bought $16/$18 call spread for limited premium, targeting movement to $18+.

Why this play: Directly captures upside with defined risk, aligned with strong call flow and bullish gamma pinning.

Debit: $0.85-$1.04

Max loss: $1.04

BE: $17.04

Mgmt: Exit if SOFI drops below $15.51; take profit near $18.

Traders wanting defined risk upside play.

Put Credit Spread

Sell 2026-08-21 $15.00/$14.00 put spread

Sell $15/$14 put spread to profit from time decay and bullish bias.

Why this play: Collects premium while bullish, but less direct than call spread; lower risk.

Credit: $0.27-$0.33

Max loss: $0.67

BE: $14.67

Mgmt: Close if spot approaches $15.50; manage assignment risk.

Conservative bulls seeking income.

Bullish Risk Reversal

Buy 2026-08-21 $18.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $15.00 put

Buy $18 call, sell $15 put for low cost bullish expression.

Why this play: Unlimited upside but unbalanced risk; last due to potential downside.

Debit: $0.61-$0.75

Max loss: $15.00

BE: $15.00

Mgmt: Monitor put side if spot falls; roll or hedge.

Aggressive traders with strong conviction.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers

IFIf SOFI holds above $15.51 and call flow persists, enter put credit spread at $0.27-$0.33. → Sell 2026-08-21 $15/$14 put spread.

IFIf SOFI breaks above $17.00 with volume, enter bull call spread at $0.85-$1.04. → Buy 2026-08-21 $16/$18 call spread.

IFIf SOFI pulls back to $15.51 support but holds, enter bullish risk reversal at $0.61-$0.75. → Buy $18 call / sell $15 put.

Adjustment Triggers

ADJIf SOFI reaches $18.00 resistance, take partial profit on bull call spread and tighten stops. → Close 50% of bull call spread; move stop to breakeven.

Exit Triggers

EXITIf SOFI drops below $15.51, exit all bullish positions. → Close any open bull trades.

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias on strong call flow and gamma pinning. Target $18.00. Preferred play: bull call spread. Invalidation at $15.51. Manage risk and take profit at resistance.

How to Use These Reports

This directional reflects the market close on June 15, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.