SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $16.58EOD onlyThis page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
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You are viewing an older report from June 11, 2026. A newer directional report is available for June 12, 2026.
View latest reportOutlook
SOFI is in a high-vol regime with bullish flow and pinning gamma near 16.5, supporting a positive bias. Strong dealer GEX (+120.9M) and alignment of flow amplify conviction. The stock is above max pain and near EM guardrails for the 2d range. Expect upward drift toward resistance at 18.24 over the next 1-2 weeks, but tight pinning may cap near-term moves.
Conflicts: High vol regime can lead to sharp reversals; resistance at 18.24 not yet tested; gamma flip at 15 downside risk.
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+120.9M
DEX: +112.0M shares
Gamma flip: ~$15 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,748 (10.0% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX +$120.9M, DEX +112M shares. Gamma flip at $15. Strong positive gamma near spot supports pinning and upward drift.
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: SOFI IV rich vs VIX (19.4); high vol regime makes premium expensive, favoring option selling or premium decay strategies for directional plays.
Term structure: Front-end elevated near expiry; no major event kinks observed. Short-dated vols higher, flattening into longer maturities.
Skew: Put skew elevated given bullish sentiment; call skew flatter. Opportunity: sell put spreads near support for theta decay, or buy calls for leveraged upside if confident in break of resistance.
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Net call premium $13.1M, P/C vol 0.35: bullish.
Directional prints: 52.3 call 16.5 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 1.9; could be bought/sold; likely bought for upside. 55.5 call 16 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 3.1; could be bought/sold; preferred bullish. 72.7 call 15.5 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 1.9; likely bought.
Unusual: 55.5 call 16 ITM 2026-06-12 — Highest vol/oi (3.1); unusual, likely institutional buying. 110.9 call 15 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 2.3; high IV; preferred bullish.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-07-02 $17.50/$18.00 call spread Why now: Bullish flow, strong GEX near 16.5, and alignment with near-term leaning. | If stock stays flat or drops, debit loses value; time decay works against. |
| Put credit spread | Moderate | Sell 2026-07-10 $16.00/$15.00 put spread Why now: Support at 16.5 has high gamma and bullish flow; premium harvest attractive. | Break below 16.5 triggers losses; volatility expansion hurts. |
| Bullish risk reversal | Moderate | Buy 2026-07-02 $18.00 call / sell 2026-07-02 $16.00 put Why now: Bullish intent with cheap financing; strong flow supports break above 18. | Sharp drop below 16 leads to large losses; margin intensive. |
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Tactical Summary
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