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SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $16.47EOD only

Max Pain

$16.50

Next expiry Jun 12, 2026

Expected Move

±$0.83

5.0% from close

Price Gap

+0.03

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.49

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

8.5/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 9, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 9, 2026 close

SOFI Directional Report

Analysis based on market close June 10, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias with high confidence (7.5/10). Strong GEX/flow alignment, positive gamma, spot below MP suggests upward drift to $16. Risks: macro selloff momentum and gamma flip at $15.

Confidence:

7.5 / 10

Base 5 +2 GEX/flow aligned +1 GEX positive pinning -0.5 spot 3.8% from MP = 7.5. GEX/flow strongly aligned supports high score.

Supports: Bullish flow, positive GEX ($47.9M), pinning at $16, VIX high but stock resilient.
Conflicts: Macro weakness (SPY/QQQ down), spot below MP but still 1.2% above gamma flip at $15.

📈Bullish GEX/flow alignment: Strong dealer long gamma and bullish flow support upside.

⚠️Macro risk: SPY/QQQ selloff could drag SOFI below $15 gamma flip.

🎯Pin target: $16 max pain for 6/12 expiry.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

High vol: IV elevated vs typical range, reflecting recent SPY/QQQ selloff (SPY -1.58%, QQQ -2.0%). VIX at 22.22.

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Pinning regime: GEX +$47.9M strong positive. Gamma flip at ~$15. Spot (15.78) above flip, dealers long gamma; supports pinning at $16 near-term.

Flow Regime

Bullish

Bullish flow: net premium positive, put/call ratio low. Confirms dealer long gamma bias.

Spot vs Max Pain

Below

Spot below max pain for nearest expiry ($16). 3.8% below MP; potential mean reversion upward.

Thesis duration: Event-specific — Near-term events: weekly expiry 6/12 and monthly 6/18. High vol and pinning suggest short-duration thesis.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days

$15.17$16.57

Pin at $16; support at $15.17.

Next 1 week

$14.62$17.11

Weekly pin at $16, support $14.62.

Next 2 weeks

$14.23$17.50

Wider range; resistance $17.5, support $14.23.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $16 (2026-06-12); $15 (2026-06-18); $17 (2026-06-26)

EM guardrails: 2d $15.17/$16.57; 1w $14.62/$17.11

Support: $15.00 · $14.23

Resistance: $16.50 · $17.00 · $17.50

Gamma flip: ~$15.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,759 (5.5% below spot)

Structural: Support: 15.0, 14.23. Resistance: 16.5, 17.0, 17.5. EM guardrails: 2d $15.17/$16.57; 1w $14.62/$17.11.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+47.9M

DEX: +110.6M shares

Gamma flip: ~$15 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,759 (5.5% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX +$47.9M, DEX +110.6M shares. Gamma flip ~$15 based on put OI.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: SOFI IV rich vs VIX (22.22) given high vol regime; implied vol elevated ahead of expiries.

Term structure: Front-end elevated due to weekly expiries; term structure likely backwardated for near events.

Skew: Skew: puts expensive relative to calls given downside fear. Opportunity: sell put spreads at $15 support for theta decay.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net call buying of $3.7M, put/call volume ratio 0.39, bullish flow.

Directional prints: 61.5 call 15 ITM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 2.9x, high call volume suggests bullish positioning. 65.9 call 18 OTM 2026-07-24 — Vol/OI 1.7x, call accumulation at higher strike, bullish bias.

Unusual: 61.5 call 15 ITM 2026-06-26 — Unusual volume vs OI, IV elevated at 61.5%, aggressive call buying. 65.9 call 18 OTM 2026-07-24 — Unusual call volume with 1.7x OI, IV 65.9%, speculative upside bet.

Risks & Catalysts

!Macro selloff accelerates, pushing spot below $15 gamma flip.

!Earnings or news event triggers vol expansion.

!Break of $15 support leads to cascading dealer hedging.

Strategy Viability

Strategy	Edge	Best Setup	Primary Risk
Bull call spread	Moderate-Strong	Buy 2026-06-26 $17.00/$17.50 call spread Why now: Defined-risk debit spread leveraging bullish GEX and low put/call ratio.	Spot fails to reach short strike; max loss net debit.
Put credit spread	Moderate	Sell 2026-08-21 $14.00/$13.00 put spread Why now: Collect premium on put credit spread at $15 support, defined risk.	Break below $14 leads to max loss.
Bullish risk reversal	Moderate-Strong	Buy 2026-08-21 $19.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $14.00 put Why now: Captures upside drift to $17+ with put premium to offset cost.	Sharp decline below $14 exposes short put loss.
Cash-secured put	Moderate	Sell 2026-08-21 $14.00 cash-secured put Why now: Collect premium at support; willing to buy stock at $15.	Stock drops below $15; assignment at loss if below.

Top Plays

Bull Call Spread

Buy 2026-06-26 $17.00/$17.50 call spread

Expresses bullish drift with limited downside.

Why this play: Low cost, defined risk, matches bullish GEX and low put/call ratio.

Debit: $0.11-$0.14

Max loss: $0.14

BE: $17.14

Mgmt: Close if spot drops below $15 invalidation.

Defined-risk bullish traders.

Put Credit Spread

Sell 2026-08-21 $14.00/$13.00 put spread

Profits if SOFI stays above $15 support.

Why this play: Collects premium at key support, defined risk, benefits from time decay.

Credit: $0.27-$0.34

Max loss: $0.66

BE: $13.66

Mgmt: Roll or close if spot approaches $15.

Income-focused traders with bullish bias.

Bullish Risk Reversal

Buy 2026-08-21 $19.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $14.00 put

Captures major upside while selling put at support.

Why this play: Unlimited upside potential with put premium offset, but higher risk.

Credit: $0.04-$0.05

Max loss: $13.95

BE: $13.95

Mgmt: Monitor gamma flip and adjust if spot nears $15.

Aggressive traders expecting strong rally.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers

IFSOFI holds above $15.00 and rises above $15.17 (2d EM guardrail). → Buy 2026-06-26 $17.00/$17.50 call spread for $0.11-$0.14 debit.

IFSOFI stays above $15.00 and below $15.50 for consolidation. → Sell 2026-08-21 $14.00/$13.00 put spread for $0.27-$0.34 credit.

IFSOFI breaks above $16.50 with bullish momentum. → Buy 2026-08-21 $19.00 call / sell 2026-08-21 $14.00 put for $0.04-$0.05 debit.

Exit Triggers

EXITSOFI closes below $15.00 (gamma flip). → Close all bullish positions.

Tactical Summary

SOFI bullish bias (7.5/10) with strong GEX/flow alignment, spot below max pain suggests drift to $16. Gamma flip at $15. Top plays: bull call spread (defined risk), put credit spread (income), bullish risk reversal (aggressive). Risks: macro selloff, earnings vol. Manage invalidation at $15.

How to Use These Reports

This directional reflects the market close on June 10, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.