SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.Close $17.15EOD onlyThis page reflects SOFI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.
Outlook
Bullish flow and dealer pinning near $17 support recovery, but spot below MP and high vol pose risks. Short-term bullish bias to $17, hedge below $15.
Conflicts: Spot below MP, high vol, macro selloff (-2.6% SPY, -4.8% QQQ)
Regime Classification
Price Range Forecast
Key Levels
Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)
GEX: $+49.4M
DEX: +115.1M shares
Gamma flip: ~$15 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 77,724 (6.4% below spot))
NTM gamma: GEX +$49.4M, DEX +115.1M shares, gamma flip at $15; dealers long gamma pinning to $17
IV Analysis
IV vs VIX: IV rich vs VIX; elevated single-stock vol due to selloff and high beta
Term structure: Contango: front-month elevated from event risk, back-month elevated
Skew: Positive skew (calls expensive); consider call spreads or put credit spreads near $15
Flow Analysis
Net premium: Positive $10.4M net premium, put/call volume ratio 0.44 indicates strong call buying.
Directional prints: 61 call 17 OTM 2026-07-10 — Vol/OI 33.8, likely bought; OTM call accumulation bullish. 67.1 put 11 OTM 2026-09-18 — Vol/OI 6.8, likely bought; OTM put for hedging.
Unusual: 61 call 17 OTM 2026-07-10 — Extreme vol/OI 33.8, concentrated OTM call buying. 67.1 put 11 OTM 2026-09-18 — High vol/OI 6.8, notable OTM put activity.
Risks & Catalysts
Strategy Viability
| Strategy | Edge | Best Setup | Primary Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull call spread | Moderate-Strong | Buy 2026-08-21 $20.00/$22.00 call spread Why now: Strong call flow and OTM accumulation near $17; high vol supports premium sale; expiration after earnings captures event | Break below $15 invalidates; VIX spike may widen spreads |
| Put credit spread | Moderate-Strong | Sell 2026-08-21 $14.00/$11.00 put spread Why now: High IV and strong support near $15; hedge below $15; earnings event drives volatility premium | Sharp selloff below $14 could cause max loss |
| Cash-secured put | Moderate | Sell 2026-08-21 $13.00 cash-secured put Why now: Bullish bias with defined risk; high IV boosts premium; expiration covers earnings event | Stock may drop below strike, resulting in assignment at higher cost |
Top Plays
Watchlist Triggers
Tactical Summary
Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.
Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.
These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.