thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $419.09EOD only
Max Pain
$417.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.98
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-1.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
17
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Continued heavy call volume, positive net premium, spot near max pain, low VIX.
Invalidation: Spot closes below $417 or VIX rises above 20.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.3% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Call volume trajectory; Spot relative to $420

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$162.7M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.29

P/C OI ratio: 0.45

Aggressive call buying dominates; net premium +$162.7M, put/call vol ratio 0.29. Unusual high vol on OTM calls (420, 422.5) signals strong bullish bias. Spot at max pain with pinning gamma supports near-term upside. Low VIX and positive GEX/DEX reinforce bullish outlook.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-05-26 $417.50 Put
Vol: 2,745
OI: 205
Vol/OI: 13.4x
IV: 15.6%
Notional: ~$645K
Intent: Bearish positioning
Dual read: Hedging

Read-through: Bearish near-term

#2
MSFT 2026-05-22 $422.50 Call
Vol: 50,471
OI: 4,381
Vol/OI: 11.5x
IV: 8.2%
Notional: ~$50K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
MSFT 2026-05-22 $417.50 Put
Vol: 20,669
OI: 1,899
Vol/OI: 10.9x
IV: 3.2%
Notional: ~$41K
Intent: Closing near expiration

Read-through: Neutral

#4
MSFT 2026-06-18 $515.00 Put
Vol: 1,620
OI: 164
Vol/OI: 9.9x
IV: 48.0%
Notional: ~$15.3M
Intent: Hedging or bearish bet
Dual read: Large institution hedging

Read-through: Bearish medium-term

#5
MSFT 2026-06-12 $470.00 Call
Vol: 5,271
OI: 535
Vol/OI: 9.8x
IV: 31.4%
Notional: ~$511K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call buying at 420/422.5 weekly and June 470 calls; significant OI builds.

Put additions: Notable put activity at 415/417.5 weekly and a far OTM June 515 put (likely hedge).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$264.9M, DEX +82.1M shares; consistent with bullish flow and pinning.

OI clusters: Largest OI at 420/422.5 calls (weekly) and 470 calls (Jun).

Hedging evidence: June 515 put (94.46, 48% IV) and 412.5/415 puts suggest downside hedging.

Max pain context: Spot near MP; gamma pinning expected near 420-422.5 calls.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: Large OI at 420/422.5 calls shows institutional bullish conviction.
~Signal: June 470 call and 515 put indicate positioning for next week and month.
~Noise: Many weekly calls trade at 0.01, expiring worthless; high volume but low value.
~Noise: 417.5 put volume (20k) may be hedging or closing trades.

Key Conclusions

🐂Flow is bullish with strong call additions and pinning near MP. Hedging evident via far OTM puts.
⚠️Weekly expiration today creates noise; most value is in June positions.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.