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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $405.21EOD only

Max Pain

$405.00

Next expiry May 15, 2026

Expected Move

±$7.38

1.8% from close

Price Gap

-0.21

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Middle-high premium

P/C OI

0.48

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

7.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 13, 2026 close

MSFT Flow Report

Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

Confidence:

9 / 10

base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.1% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Spot vs $415 and $412.5 strikes; Sustained call flow

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$3.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.35

P/C OI ratio: 0.48

Bullish flow dominates with net premium +$3.6M and put/call ratio 0.35. Large call buys at 407.5, 412.5, 415 strikes. GEX +$164M supports pinning. Spot above MP. Sustained call interest points to upside bias.

Notable Prints

MSFT 2026-05-18 $460.00 Call

Vol: 1,017

OI: 112

Vol/OI: 9.1x

IV: 43.2%

Notional: ~$3K

Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

MSFT 2026-05-18 $407.50 Put

Vol: 1,984

OI: 236

Vol/OI: 8.4x

IV: 22.5%

Notional: ~$647K

Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

MSFT 2026-05-15 $407.50 Call

Vol: 15,047

OI: 1,962

Vol/OI: 7.7x

IV: 24.3%

Notional: ~$5.9M

Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

MSFT 2026-05-15 $415.00 Call

Vol: 58,434

OI: 8,397

Vol/OI: 7.0x

IV: 24.4%

Notional: ~$5.5M

Intent: Bullish speculation

Dual read: Also possible closing of shorts

Read-through: High volume suggests bullish sentiment short-term.

MSFT 2026-05-18 $405.00 Call

Vol: 2,821

OI: 412

Vol/OI: 6.8x

IV: 23.0%

Notional: ~$1.9M

Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy near-term call buying at $405-$415 strikes (58k vol at $415C, 20k at $412.5C).

Put additions: Large put purchases at high strikes $460-$500 (e.g., $470P 7.5k vol), possibly hedges or bearish bets.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$163.9M, DEX +83.8M shares, both positive – consistent with bullish flow and pinning.

OI clusters: Largest OI: $415C (8.4k), $412.5C (3.4k), $470P (1.2k), $460P (555).

Hedging evidence: Large OTM put buys at high strikes suggest hedging or downside protection alongside call upside.

Max pain context: Spot above MP; GEX positive supports pinning near $406-$415 range.

Signal vs Noise

~Massive call volume at $415C (58k) is a strong bullish signal.

~High put activity at $470+ is likely hedging noise, not bearish conviction.

~GEX/DEX alignment confirms real bullish flow.

Key Conclusions

📈Heavy call buying $405-$415 signals institutional bullish bias.

⚠️Large OTM put buys at $460+ suggest hedging, creating downside risk.

📌Positive GEX and pinning regime keep price range-bound near $406-$415.

How to Use These Reports

This flow reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.