thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $417.42EOD only
Max Pain
$417.50
Next expiry May 20, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.05
1.4% from close
Price Gap
+0.08
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
14
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 19, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 19, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained call accumulation, low put/call ratio, positive gamma
Invalidation: Surge in put buying or gamma flip below 420
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: MSFT 2026-05-20 $432.50 Call; MSFT 2026-05-20 $440.00 Call

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$134.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.20

P/C OI ratio: 0.46

Heavy bullish call flow dominates, with unusual prints at $432.5 and $440 calls. Net premium $134.6M, P/C volume ratio 0.20. Positive gamma pinning near max pain. Spot at MP, VIX 18 supports bullish tilt. Watch for continued call demand.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-05-20 $432.50 Call
Vol: 33,189
OI: 939
Vol/OI: 35.4x
IV: 28.8%
Notional: ~$597K
Intent: Speculative call buying into expiration
Dual read: May be a hedge against short stock

Read-through: Bullish sentiment but high risk

#2
MSFT 2026-05-20 $427.50 Put
Vol: 4,875
OI: 145
Vol/OI: 33.6x
IV: 40.9%
Notional: ~$4.6M
Intent: Bearish put purchase or hedge
Dual read: Closing of short put position

Read-through: Expects downside protection

#3
MSFT 2026-05-20 $440.00 Call
Vol: 74,177
OI: 4,173
Vol/OI: 17.8x
IV: 32.4%
Notional: ~$297K
Intent: Lottery-style call buying

Read-through: Speculative, low probability

#4
MSFT 2026-05-20 $430.00 Put
Vol: 2,150
OI: 174
Vol/OI: 12.4x
IV: 42.9%
Notional: ~$2.8M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
MSFT 2026-05-20 $442.50 Call
Vol: 5,393
OI: 456
Vol/OI: 11.8x
IV: 34.4%
Notional: ~$11K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Heavy call buying 430-442.5C, 9-35x OI ratio, bullish accumulation.

Put additions: Put buying at 427.5,420,410P (10-33x) likely hedging.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes: GEX +$215M, DEX +81.8M shares, aligned with calls.

OI clusters: Key OI: 430C 5.9k, 440C 4.2k, 420P 1.1k. MP at spot.

Hedging evidence: Puts at 427.5-410 indicate downside hedging; no collars.

Max pain context: Spot at MP, positive gamma pins price.

Signal vs Noise

~Call accumulation signals: 432.5C 35x OI, 440C 18x, 430C 9.6x – bullish.
~Put volume high but hedging, not bearish.
~Net premium +$134.6M, put/call volume 0.20 confirm trend.
~Positive GEX/DEX consistent with flow.

Key Conclusions

📈Bullish call accumulation at 430-442.5; 9-35x OI ratio.
📌Spot at MP, +$215M GEX pinning price.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 19, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.