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MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $417.42EOD only

Max Pain

$417.50

Next expiry May 20, 2026

Expected Move

±$6.05

1.4% from close

Price Gap

+0.08

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

Low premium

P/C OI

0.46

Slightly call-heavy

Consensus

9.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: May 19, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

May 19, 2026 close

MSFT Flow Report

Analysis based on market close May 15, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from May 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 19, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

Confidence:

7.5 / 10

base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.5% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: 425; 427.5; 430; VIX

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$442.9M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.23

P/C OI ratio: 0.48

Despite a down day in tech, MSFT options flow is dominantly bullish with massive call buying across strikes. Net premium strongly positive, put/call ratios low, GEX high positive. Pinning regime and spot above MP reinforce bullish sentiment. Unusual prints show concentrated call activity, especially 5/15 427.5C (expiring) and 5/18 calls, positioning for upside. Key levels: $425 support, $430 resistance.

Notable Prints

MSFT 2026-05-18 $435.00 Call

Vol: 18,315

OI: 383

Vol/OI: 47.8x

IV: 25.8%

Notional: ~$1.3M

Intent: Bullish directional bet

Dual read: Possible short gamma scalp

Read-through: Expect MSFT to rally above 435 by 5/18

MSFT 2026-05-18 $422.50 Call

Vol: 17,568

OI: 401

Vol/OI: 43.8x

IV: 23.7%

Notional: ~$6.6M

Intent: Bullish

Read-through: Betting on move above 422.5

MSFT 2026-05-15 $422.50 Put

Vol: 30,431

OI: 914

Vol/OI: 33.3x

IV: 9.5%

Notional: ~$3.1M

Intent: Hedge

Dual read: Bearish bet or collar leg

Read-through: Downside protection near 422.5

MSFT 2026-05-15 $425.00 Put

Vol: 27,843

OI: 877

Vol/OI: 31.8x

IV: 19.7%

Notional: ~$8.4M

Intent: Hedge

Read-through: Protection against drop below 425

MSFT 2026-05-15 $417.50 Put

Vol: 14,270

OI: 542

Vol/OI: 26.3x

IV: 13.9%

Notional: ~$14K

Intent: Speculative

Dual read: Cheap hedge or lottery

Read-through: Bearish speculation deep OTM

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: High volume in 425-435 calls, especially 427.5C (76k) but near-zero price suggests noise

Put additions: Minimal; put volume ratio 0.23

GEX/DEX consistency: Consistent: GEX +$405M, DEX +93.9M shares both bullish

OI clusters: Largest OI in 427.5C (3841) and 425C (990)

Hedging evidence: Near-expiry put activity may be hedging, but not dominant

Max pain context: Spot above MP; gamma pinning regime supports upside pinning

Signal vs Noise

~Bullish flow regime and low put/call ratio are signal

~Large volume in 427.5C with near-zero price is noise

~Positive GEX and DEX consistent with bullish positioning are signal

Key Conclusions

📈Bullish flow with low put/call ratio and high net premium indicate institutional call buying.

🔮Positive gamma and wide call activity suggest potential upward pinning near max pain.

⚠️Near-expiry put volume spikes could be hedging, but not a bearish signal.

How to Use These Reports

This flow reflects the market close on May 15, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.