thetaOwl

MSFT

Microsoft CorporationClose $421.06EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$8.28
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-6.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
14
Low premium
P/C OI
0.46
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MSFT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
MSFT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 20, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Price holds above $415 and continues toward $420+; sustained call volume dominance.
Invalidation: Put volume surges or price breaks below $410, signaling shift in sentiment.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.3% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor $420 call open interest and gamma flip risks.

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$470.4M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.28

P/C OI ratio: 0.46

Heavy institutional call accumulation with net premium $470M and put/call volume ratio 0.28. Positive gamma pinning and low VIX support bullish bias. Unusual prints show massive call buying at $420 and $417.5, indicating aggressive upside positioning.

Notable Prints

#1
MSFT 2026-05-20 $412.50 Call
Vol: 11,546
OI: 185
Vol/OI: 62.4x
IV: 40.7%
Notional: ~$10.3M
Intent: Call buying
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Bullish today

#2
MSFT 2026-05-20 $417.50 Call
Vol: 44,129
OI: 1,274
Vol/OI: 34.6x
IV: 14.1%
Notional: ~$15.7M
Intent: Call accumulation
Dual read: Spread position

Read-through: Target 417.5+

#3
MSFT 2026-05-20 $415.00 Call
Vol: 33,365
OI: 1,229
Vol/OI: 27.1x
IV: 20.7%
Notional: ~$19.6M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
MSFT 2026-05-20 $420.00 Call
Vol: 136,308
OI: 5,580
Vol/OI: 24.4x
IV: 7.9%
Notional: ~$16.2M
Intent: Large call buying
Dual read: MM hedging

Read-through: Pinning or breakout

#5
MSFT 2026-05-27 $420.00 Call
Vol: 2,703
OI: 218
Vol/OI: 12.4x
IV: 25.4%
Notional: ~$1.8M
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive OTM call buying at 412.5-422.5 strikes; vol/OI up to 62x

Put additions: Moderate put buying at 415-420; cheap premiums, small volumes vs calls

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes: GEX +$321.7M, DEX +84.9M shares, flow bullish, gamma pinning

OI clusters: 420C (5.5k), 422.5C (5.5k), 415P (2.2k), 417.5P (1.9k), 420P (1.8k)

Hedging evidence: Puts at 415-420 suggest collar hedging; low cost protective

Max pain context: Spot near max pain; gamma pinning expected 415-420

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/OI on OTM calls is real institutional accumulation, not noise
~Low put volumes relative to calls confirm bullish skew; small put buys are hedging not bearish

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions aggressively added OTM calls, betting on upside through expiry
🔒Put additions at 415-420 are hedges; net flow heavily call-skewed
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 20, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.