thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1794.62EOD only
Max Pain
$1760.00
Next expiry Jul 2, 2026
Expected Move
±$99.70
5.6% from close
Price Gap
-34.62
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
21
Low premium
P/C OI
1.34
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 26, 2026 close
ASML Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 29, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Price holds above gamma flip 1700; QQQ continues strength; spot tests call strike 1900.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below 1700; put volume surges with IV expansion; VIX spikes above 20.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 5.8% from MP; +1 VIX 18

Watch next session: Gamma flip at 1700; Call wall at 1900; Net premium direction

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$132.2M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.60

P/C OI ratio: 1.37

Net premium +$132M and high vol/OI call prints at 1800/1900 signal institutional bullish positioning. Mixed volume ratios but overall call-heavy flow supports upside. High volatility and pinning gamma favor continued rally toward 1900.

Notable Prints

#1
ASML 2026-09-18 $680.00 Put
Vol: 308
OI: 107
Vol/OI: 2.9x
IV: 84.1%
Notional: ~$24K
Intent: speculative bearish

Read-through: bearish

#2
ASML 2026-07-10 $1900.00 Call
Vol: 366
OI: 145
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 55.4%
Notional: ~$2.5M
Intent: bullish bet

Read-through: bullish

#3
ASML 2026-07-10 $1800.00 Call
Vol: 308
OI: 140
Vol/OI: 2.2x
IV: 57.1%
Notional: ~$3.7M
Intent: bullish leverage

Read-through: bullish

#4
ASML 2026-07-02 $1450.00 Put
Vol: 472
OI: 243
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 87.9%
Notional: ~$6K
Intent: hedge or speculation

Read-through: bearish

#5
ASML 2026-07-02 $2000.00 Call
Vol: 426
OI: 239
Vol/OI: 1.8x
IV: 56.5%
Notional: ~$320K
Intent: bullish speculation

Read-through: bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: High strike calls: Jul2 1900/2000, Jul10 1800/1900

Put additions: Deep OTM puts: Sep18 680P, Jul2 1450P

GEX/DEX consistency: Both positive, consistent with pinning above MP

OI clusters: Put OI 1450 (243), Call OI 2000 (239); gamma flip 1700

Hedging evidence: Puts at 680 and 1450 indicate downside hedging

Max pain context: Spot 5.8% above MP; pinning could pull lower

Signal vs Noise

~Unusual volume in OTM puts is hedging, not directional
~High call OI at 2000 is real resistance

Key Conclusions

🔒High put/call OI ratio (1.37) indicates defensive positioning
📈Positive GEX (+$1.7M) and DEX (+4.5M) support bullish gamma
⚠️Spot far above MP may attract selling pressure
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 29, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.