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ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1892.66EOD only

Max Pain

$1520.00

Next expiry Jun 18, 2026

Expected Move

±$89.60

4.7% from close

Price Gap

-372.66

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

High premium

P/C OI

1.31

Slightly put-heavy

Consensus

5.5/10

Downside lean

Published snapshot: Jun 15, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 15, 2026 close

ASML Flow Report

Analysis based on market close June 16, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

Confidence:

8 / 10

base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 16.4% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: Monitor put/call volume ratio; Price action near gamma flip

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$97.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.33

P/C OI ratio: 1.32

Net positive premium but put volume ratio above 1.3, signaling hedging. Unusual low-volume, high-IV calls at $2270 and $1950 suggest selling. High vol and spot above MP imply vulnerability. Bullish GEX is offset by bearish put skew.

Notable Prints

ASML 2026-06-18 $2270.00 Call

Vol: 285

OI: 100

Vol/OI: 2.9x

IV: 78.9%

Notional: ~$1K

Intent: Speculative lottery bet on extreme upside

Dual read: Possible short sale given low premium, but more likely outright purchase due to high volume

Read-through: Bullish but low probability tail risk

ASML 2026-06-18 $1950.00 Call

Vol: 286

OI: 105

Vol/OI: 2.7x

IV: 56.4%

Notional: ~$72K

Intent: Cheap call purchase anticipating a sharp rally

Dual read: Could be closing short calls, but volume vs OI suggests new longs

Read-through: Mildly bullish with limited conviction

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: OTM calls at 2270 and 1950 (unusual prints, vol/OI ~2.8x)

Put additions: High put/call volume (1.33) and OI (1.32) ratios; no specific unusual prints

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$2.9M, DEX +5.4M shares: consistent positive dealer hedge flow

OI clusters: Large put OI concentration at 1400 (22.4% below spot), gamma flip at 1400

Hedging evidence: Put-heavy flow and gamma flip near 1400 suggest downside hedging

Max pain context: Spot above MP (regime: pinning gamma), MP path likely pins near current levels

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: OTM call additions indicate bullish bets despite market drop

~Signal: High put/call ratios (no unusual prints) suggest caution but conviction limited

~Signal: Positive GEX/DEX flow consistent with dealer hedging

~Noise: Low OI in unusual prints reduces their conviction

~Noise: Single-day snapshot may not reflect trend

Key Conclusions

🐻Bearish: high put/call ratios and large put OI at 1400 (based on ratios, not unusual prints) suggest moderate downside hedging

📈Bullish: unusual OTM call additions signal upside bets despite market weakness

📌Neutral: regime shows pinning gamma, keeping spot near current levels

How to Use These Reports

This flow reflects the market close on June 16, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.