thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1762.77EOD only
Max Pain
$1780.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$79.60
4.5% from close
Price Gap
+17.23
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
14
Low premium
P/C OI
1.29
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 24, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 24, 2026 close
ASML Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 25, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral
Confirmation: Spot holds above gamma flip 1700; put ratio declines.
Invalidation: Spot breaks below 1700; IV spikes.
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -0.5 spot 3.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: 1700 gamma flip; put/call volume ratio

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$111.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.65

P/C OI ratio: 1.30

High put volumes but net long premium. Gamma pinning near 1700. VIX at 19 suggests elevated uncertainty.

Notable Prints

#1
ASML 2026-08-21 $1700.00 Put
Vol: 677
OI: 112
Vol/OI: 6.0x
IV: 57.6%
Notional: ~$6.9M
Intent: Hedging or bearish bet on long-dated downside
Dual read: Could be volatility sale given high IV

Read-through: Large put opening suggests downside protection or directional short

#2
ASML 2026-07-10 $1700.00 Put
Vol: 186
OI: 102
Vol/OI: 1.8x
IV: 53.8%
Notional: ~$556K
Intent: Short-term hedging near upcoming expiration
Dual read: May be part of a put spread with the Aug put

Read-through: Moderate put volume may pin spot near $1700

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Call flow muted; no significant additions.

Put additions: Notable at $1700 (6x vol/OI).

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX/DEX positive; flow mixed but consistency holds.

OI clusters: Largest OI at $1700 put (3,417 contracts).

Hedging evidence: Large put volumes suggest institutional hedging.

Max pain context: Spot ~$1846 above MP; gamma flip near $1700.

Signal vs Noise

~Real: $1700 put wall (6x vol/OI) signals bearish hedging.
~Noise: Mixed PCR ratios and net premium offset by put skew.
~Bullish: Persistent positive gamma/delta supports price.

Key Conclusions

🛡️Put wall at $1700 creates downside risk; watch for breakdown.
📈Bullish gamma/delta supports spot above $1800; trend intact.
⚖️Mixed flow suggests indecision; wait for gamma flip.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 25, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.