thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1929.25EOD only
Max Pain
$1750.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$104.45
5.4% from close
Price Gap
-179.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
13
Low premium
P/C OI
1.26
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 22, 2026 close
ASML Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Put/call volume ratio >1 and negative GEX persist; spot remains below 3000.
Invalidation: Net premium surges above $100M or spot recovers above SPX moving average.
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 spot 0.4% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

Watch next session: Observe gamma flip level 1700 for inflection; Monitor unusual call 1850 strike for added volume

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$88.6M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.41

P/C OI ratio: 1.31

Mixed flow with bearish macro. Net premium $50M, put/call ratio 1.3, negative GEX -$200M. Unusual ITM call at 1850 adds uncertainty.

Notable Prints

#1
ASML 2026-06-26 $1850.00 Call
Vol: 252
OI: 148
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 62.1%
Notional: ~$486K
Intent: Opening bullish bet on ASML exceeding $1850 by Friday, capitalizing on high volatility despite market selloff.
Dual read: Could be a short call opening to collect premium, betting stock stays below $1850 amid high IV.

Read-through: Indicates extreme short-term optimism on ASML, possibly hedging or speculative frenzy.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Light; $1850 call print (252 vol, 1.7x OI) at 62% IV.

Put additions: Heavy; put/call vol 1.41, OI 1.31.

GEX/DEX consistency: Mixed: -$1.2M GEX vs +4.4M DEX; hedging flows.

OI clusters: Puts near 1700 (gamma flip), calls at 1850.

Hedging evidence: Put buying hedges long exposure; call may short hedge.

Max pain context: Spot at MP (0.4%); pinning.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: put/call ratios bearish; $1850 call bullish; negative GEX; positive DEX.
~Noise: net premium $88.6M neutral; VIX 19 moderate.

Key Conclusions

🐻Put dominance but mixed GEX/DEX and bullish $1850 call; downside risk to 1700 not confirmed.
🐂Large $1850 call buyer; moderate confidence (5.5).
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.