Watch next session: Put volume surge; Spot reaction to gamma flip
Net premium: +$97.2M bullish
P/C volume ratio: 1.65
P/C OI ratio: 1.34
Dominant put flow and negative gamma point to downside risk, despite unusual call activity hinting at contrarian bets.
#1ASML 2026-06-26 $1800.00 Call
Intent: Bullish speculation or upside hedge
Dual read: Could be closing shorts
Read-through: Aggressive low-IV call buying suggests conviction in upside
#2ASML 2026-06-26 $1900.00 Call
Intent: Speculative long lottery ticket
Dual read: Possible short covering or hedging
Read-through: High IV and deep OTM volume indicates irrational exuberance
#3ASML 2026-06-26 $1770.00 Put
Intent: Protective put buying or bearish bet
Dual read: Profit-taking on existing puts
Read-through: Modest OTM put volume suggests downside caution despite bullish regime
Call additions: OTM calls $1800/$1900 (vol/oi>1.5, IV 19-44%)
Put additions: OTM put $1770 (vol/oi 1.7, IV 35%)
GEX/DEX consistency: Partial consistency: negative GEX+positive DEX from mixed flow hedging.
OI clusters: Top OI: 1900C(486), 1770P(136); put cluster near $1770.
Hedging evidence: OTM put/calls hedge stock or synthetics; no collars.
Max pain context: Spot above MP (>5% down); pin potential to MP.
~Elevated put/call volume ratio (1.65) signals bearish flow.
~Large OTM call $1900 (942 vol, 44% IV) suggests spec/hedge.
~Neg GEX (-2.1M), pos DEX (+4.7M) = dealer short gamma, amplifies moves.