thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1841.18EOD only
Max Pain
$1775.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$47.05
2.6% from close
Price Gap
-66.18
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
16
Low premium
P/C OI
1.30
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 25, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 25, 2026 close
ASML Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Break below 1800 triggers gamma acceleration
Invalidation: Spot reclaims 1900 or volume shifts to calls
Confidence:
5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +0.5 spot 1.1% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: Put volume surge; Spot reaction to gamma flip

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$97.2M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.65

P/C OI ratio: 1.34

Dominant put flow and negative gamma point to downside risk, despite unusual call activity hinting at contrarian bets.

Notable Prints

#1
ASML 2026-06-26 $1800.00 Call
Vol: 362
OI: 146
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 19.1%
Notional: ~$239K
Intent: Bullish speculation or upside hedge
Dual read: Could be closing shorts

Read-through: Aggressive low-IV call buying suggests conviction in upside

#2
ASML 2026-06-26 $1900.00 Call
Vol: 942
OI: 486
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 44.4%
Notional: ~$9K
Intent: Speculative long lottery ticket
Dual read: Possible short covering or hedging

Read-through: High IV and deep OTM volume indicates irrational exuberance

#3
ASML 2026-06-26 $1770.00 Put
Vol: 232
OI: 136
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 35.2%
Notional: ~$5K
Intent: Protective put buying or bearish bet
Dual read: Profit-taking on existing puts

Read-through: Modest OTM put volume suggests downside caution despite bullish regime

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: OTM calls $1800/$1900 (vol/oi>1.5, IV 19-44%)

Put additions: OTM put $1770 (vol/oi 1.7, IV 35%)

GEX/DEX consistency: Partial consistency: negative GEX+positive DEX from mixed flow hedging.

OI clusters: Top OI: 1900C(486), 1770P(136); put cluster near $1770.

Hedging evidence: OTM put/calls hedge stock or synthetics; no collars.

Max pain context: Spot above MP (>5% down); pin potential to MP.

Signal vs Noise

~Elevated put/call volume ratio (1.65) signals bearish flow.
~Large OTM call $1900 (942 vol, 44% IV) suggests spec/hedge.
~Neg GEX (-2.1M), pos DEX (+4.7M) = dealer short gamma, amplifies moves.

Key Conclusions

🧐Bearish put buildup: high ratio + OTM put $1770.
🎲Speculative OTM call $1900 (44% IV): lottery bets.
⚠️Neg gamma+mixed flow accelerates moves; key levels $1700 (gamma flip) and $1800.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.