thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1929.68EOD only
Max Pain
$1700.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$61.10
3.2% from close
Price Gap
-229.68
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.36
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
ASML Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Sustained trade above $1930 with call OI building
Invalidation: Close below $1400 gamma flip
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 20.6% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: $1930 call OI; put volume ratio

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$188.2M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.48

P/C OI ratio: 1.36

Despite elevated put volume, net premium positive and pinning gamma near 1400 suggest bullish skew. Unusual call activity at 1930-1950 supports upside. Flow mixed but bias upward.

Notable Prints

#1
ASML 2026-06-18 $1900.00 Put
Vol: 527
OI: 103
Vol/OI: 5.1x
IV: 29.9%
Notional: ~$3K
Intent: Bearish hedge or speculative put
Dual read: Could be part of put spread

Read-through: Bearish sentiment, but deep ITM

#2
ASML 2026-06-26 $1200.00 Put
Vol: 319
OI: 128
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 143.4%
Notional: ~$2K
Intent: Tail risk speculation
Dual read: Cheap hedge for large position

Read-through: Extreme fear, low cost

#3
ASML 2026-06-18 $1940.00 Call
Vol: 345
OI: 144
Vol/OI: 2.4x
IV: 14.2%
Notional: ~$28K
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Closing short call

Read-through: Bullish bias near term

#4
ASML 2026-06-18 $1950.00 Call
Vol: 550
OI: 297
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 21.2%
Notional: ~$97K
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Part of call spread

Read-through: Bullish

#5
ASML 2026-06-18 $1930.00 Call
Vol: 630
OI: 372
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 16.3%
Notional: ~$110K
Intent: Bullish speculation
Dual read: Short covering

Read-through: Bullish

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: 1930C,1940C,1950C added

Put additions: 1900P,1200P added (protective)

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX+$10.8M, DEX+6.2M shares align; but put/call vol ratio 1.48

OI clusters: Put OI concentrated at 1400 (3.6k) and 1200; call OI at 1930 (372) and 1950 (297)

Hedging evidence: Calls at 1930-1950 and puts at 1900/1200 suggest collar-like hedging

Max pain context: Spot ~20.6% above MP; low pinning probability

Signal vs Noise

~call accumulation at 1930-1950 is real institutional demand
~put buying at 1900/1200 is hedging, not directional noise
~high put/call volume ratio may be noise from weeklys
~net premium $188M positive indicates real call flow

Key Conclusions

🟢Bullish: Call accumulation at 1930-1950 reflects institutional optimism
🔴Bearish: Protective puts at 1900/1200 hedge downside risk
🟡Warning: Spot 20.6% above MP reduces upside conviction
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.