thetaOwl

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. - New York ReClose $1803.89EOD only
Max Pain
$1550.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$66.80
3.7% from close
Price Gap
-253.89
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.32
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects ASML options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 16, 2026 close
ASML Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Spot holds above $2000 with call volume increasing
Invalidation: Break below $1800 put support on high volume
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 19.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$133.8M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 1.54

P/C OI ratio: 1.31

ASML sees heavy put volume at $1800 and call buying at $2000, net premium positive. Positive gamma pinning, but high VIX and mixed flow warrant caution.

Notable Prints

#1
ASML 2026-06-18 $1800.00 Put
Vol: 1,270
OI: 214
Vol/OI: 5.9x
IV: 50.4%
Notional: ~$610K
Intent: Bearish hedge or speculation
Dual read: Could be tail risk hedge

Read-through: Downside fear, high IV reflects tail risk pricing

#2
ASML 2026-06-18 $2100.00 Call
Vol: 572
OI: 188
Vol/OI: 3.0x
IV: 71.6%
Notional: ~$17K
Intent: Lottery ticket on upside
Dual read: Possible short call in a spread

Read-through: Speculative bet, low probability of profit

#3
ASML 2026-06-18 $1950.00 Call
Vol: 531
OI: 224
Vol/OI: 2.4x
IV: 50.6%
Notional: ~$297K
Intent: Bullish call buying
Dual read: Could be part of a call ladder

Read-through: Moderate upside positioning

#4
ASML 2026-06-18 $2000.00 Call
Vol: 1,218
OI: 672
Vol/OI: 1.8x
IV: 57.3%
Notional: ~$177K
Intent: Accumulation of upside calls
Dual read: Anticipating positive catalyst

Read-through: Strong bullish sentiment indicated

#5
ASML 2026-06-18 $1850.00 Put
Vol: 265
OI: 161
Vol/OI: 1.6x
IV: 49.9%
Notional: ~$437K
Intent: Downside protection
Dual read: Part of a collar or put spread

Read-through: Hedging at a higher strike than $1800

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls at 2000, 2100, 1950 with high vol/OI ratios, but flow mixed.

Put additions: Puts at 1800 (5.9x OI) and 1850; aggressive downside hedges.

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$5.6M, DEX +5.9M shares; net premium positive but put/call ratios bearish.

OI clusters: 1800 put (3,624), 2000 call (672), 1950 call (224).

Hedging evidence: Large put buying at 1800/1850 indicates institutional hedging; possible collar structures.

Max pain context: Spot ~$1440 above MP; gamma pinning near 1400, but put skew suggests downside pressure.

Signal vs Noise

~Put volume surge at 1800 (5.9x OI) is real hedging signal.
~Call buying at 2000/2100 may be speculative noise given low OI.
~Mixed flow with net premium positive but put/call ratios above 1.5 indicates caution.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Put activity at 1800 and 1850 signals institutional downside hedging.
📊Mixed flow with positive GEX/DEX but bearish ratios suggests range-bound pinning.
📉Max pain near 1400; spot 19.7% above MP increases risk of mean reversion.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.