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TSLA

Tesla, Inc.Close $426.01EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry May 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$9.85
2.3% from close
Price Gap
-11.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
59
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TSLA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 22, 2026 close
TSLA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 7, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 7, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 22, 2026.

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Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because positioning (dealer short-gamma and concentrated call OI) and elevated IV jointly favor a pin and premium-selling approach, but conviction is capped by imminent/high earnings volatility and mixed institutional flow which create a non-trivial binary reprice risk that could overturn the setup quickly.

Where Perspectives Agree

Dealer short-gamma and concentrated call premium around the $360–$365 max-pain create a pin/magnet that the market is presently gravitating toward; that structure plus elevated IV makes selling defined call premium the highest-probability axis while remaining exposed to event-driven reprices.

Where They Diverge

Earnings and flow perspectives introduce a genuine contradiction: earnings-driven high vol and mixed institutional flow imply a reprice or distribution around the event that can invalidate the directional pin — earnings term-structure and mixed buy/sell flow both point to possible post-event dispersion rather than a clean continuation into the MP zone.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 22 365/375 call spread for approx $1.10 credit (defined-risk call spread, theta play).

Key Risk

Break and sustained close below $323.97 (the 2-week EM low) removes the dealer short-gamma pin, triggers stop cascades and dealer hedging that accelerates downside toward the gamma-flip region near $300, invalidating the bullish/pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 7, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.