base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Watch next session: Monitor 87.5 strike activity
Net premium: +$9.2M bullish
P/C volume ratio: 1.08
P/C OI ratio: 0.75
Net premium positive with strong positive GEX, despite mixed flow and elevated put volume. Gamma pinning near spot supports bullish bias. Large 87.5 call and 87 put prints suggest rangebound with upside skew.
#1TLT 2026-08-07 $83.00 Put
Intent: Bearish hedge
Read-through: Expect decline to $83 by Aug 7.
#2TLT 2026-06-30 $72.00 Call
Intent: Arbitrage
Read-through: Non-directional mispricing trade.
#3TLT 2026-06-29 $87.50 Call
Intent: Closing
Read-through: Closing position at expiry.
#4TLT 2026-07-10 $87.00 Put
Intent: Bearish
Read-through: Expect TLT below $87 by July 10.
#5TLT 2026-07-06 $84.00 Put
Intent: Tail hedge
Read-through: Bet on drop to $84.
Call additions: Deep ITM $72 calls, OTM $93 calls added; $87.50 calls likely closing.
Put additions: Puts at $83 (Aug), $87 (Jul/6/30) bought.
GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$1.9B, DEX +206M, consistent with pinning.
OI clusters: $87 strikes heavy OI (calls 3.2k, puts 2.1k); $80 put OI 107.6k.
Hedging evidence: Put buying signals downside hedging; $80 gamma flip support.
Max pain context: Spot at MP, positive GEX pinning near $87.