thetaOwl

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFClose $86.75EOD only
Max Pain
$85.50
Next expiry Jun 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.49
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-1.25
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
77
High premium
P/C OI
0.74
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects TLT options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
TLT Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBullish
Confirmation: Spot holds above gamma flip ~$80; continued call buying in near-dated strikes like $89 and $92.
Invalidation: Break below gamma flip ($80) or surge in put volume on short-dated strikes.
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.5% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Watch next session: 87.50; 89.00; 92.00

Flow Summary

Net premium: +$38.8M bullish

P/C volume ratio: 0.47

P/C OI ratio: 0.74

Heavy call volume on TLT, with net premium positive $38.8M and put/call volume ratio low at 0.47. GEX strongly positive $2.2B pinning above gamma flip. Flow indicates bullish positioning.

Notable Prints

#1
TLT 2026-07-31 $87.50 Call
Vol: 7,157
OI: 154
Vol/OI: 46.5x
IV: 9.0%
Notional: ~$508K
Intent: Bullish directional bet
Dual read: Possible delta hedge

Read-through: Strong call buying signals optimism

#2
TLT 2027-05-21 $83.00 Put
Vol: 4,133
OI: 148
Vol/OI: 27.9x
IV: 11.6%
Notional: ~$893K
Intent: Bearish protection or speculation
Dual read: Hedging long bond position

Read-through: Long-dated put indicates downside concern

#3
TLT 2026-07-24 $89.00 Call
Vol: 10,190
OI: 397
Vol/OI: 25.7x
IV: 8.5%
Notional: ~$214K
Intent: Bullish OTM call speculation
Dual read: Part of call spread

Read-through: High vol/oi reflects aggressive bullish bet

#4
TLT 2026-07-24 $92.00 Call
Vol: 16,173
OI: 1,154
Vol/OI: 14.0x
IV: 10.6%
Notional: ~$81K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
TLT 2026-07-31 $88.00 Call
Vol: 8,119
OI: 599
Vol/OI: 13.6x
IV: 8.9%
Notional: ~$422K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Aggressive call buying at $84.5, $87.5, $88, $89, $92 (Jul 2026 expiries)

Put additions: Notable put buying at $83 (2027) and $87 (Jun/Jul 2026)

GEX/DEX consistency: Positive GEX ($2.2B) and DEX (+219M shares) align with bullish call flow

OI clusters: Large put OI at $80 (117k contracts) and call OI building at $84.5-$92

Hedging evidence: Long-dated $83 puts (2027) suggest position hedging

Max pain context: Spot above MP, gamma pinning supports upside

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi ratio calls (>10x OI) signal institutional accumulation
~Low put/call volume ratio (0.47) confirms bullish flow
~Long-dated put buying (2027) is hedging signal

Key Conclusions

📈Bullish flow with strong call addition at $87-92; GEX/DEX supportive
⚠️Long-dated put hedging at $83 warns of cautious positioning
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.